TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf892…7f58

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2420.8%5 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.59
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20,634Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,633.88
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11,353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,352.5
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$4,875Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,875
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$4,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,400
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,100
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,470
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11,068Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,067.99
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$7,515Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,515.12
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$4,410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,410
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,192Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$4,408
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,860Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,860
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Spread: Japan (-1.5)backed Tunisia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,628Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,627.82
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,150
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Iraq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,680
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,700
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$3,791.67
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,700
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$2,800
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,900
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$2,200
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,350
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,650
All 24 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+306.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,455Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,454.59
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,500
Will Inter Milan beat Monterrey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,050
Will Inter Miami CF beat Al Ahly?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,300
Will Raphinha be the top Champions League scorer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$657Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$656.86
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,045Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+5,163.2%+$53,954.9
Champions League Final: 3+ goals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,850Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$1,707.5
Champions League: Arsenal vs. PSG (To Advance)backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+106.7%+$586.38
Will Serhou Guirassy be the top Champions League scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$724Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$724.26
Will Inter win on 2025-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,961Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,960.77
Champions League: Inter Milan vs. Barcelona (To Advance)backed Inter Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$5,636Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+167.9%+$9,463.97
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,340Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$3,659.91
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,667Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$2,398.31
Champions LeagueQuarterfinals: Arsenal vs. Real Madridbacked Arsenal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,044Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$5,411.9
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,860Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,859.98
Will Real Madrid or Atlético de Madrid advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$359.17
Will Benfica win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$557Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$557.48
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15,392Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,392.46
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$9,167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,167.27
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,781Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,780.56
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,900Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$5,100
Will Chelsea win the 2025 UEFA Conference League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,919Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,919.3
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,554Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,554.43
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$5,900
Will Crystal Palace win the 2024-25 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$961Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$2,351.65
Will Brentford win on 2025-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,918Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,917.68
Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,320
Will Brighton win on 2025-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,650.05
Will Leicester win on 2025-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,034Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$1,616.53
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,450Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$3,549.96
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$1,159.94
Will Wolves win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,074Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,073.76
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-52.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$9,990Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$9,990
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10,381Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10,380.51
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$9,552Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$9,552.3
Australian Open Men's: Stan Wawrinka vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14,721Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+27.4%+$4,039.12
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,628Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$2,628.25
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,734Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$2,626.74
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+98.9%+$5,738.29
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10,037Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,036.5
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24,729Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$24,729.22
French Open: Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,776Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,775.67
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$451.93
All 11 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+44.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-65.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12,915Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+44.4%+$5,730.73
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,980Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+60.6%+$3,019.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Game 14 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$18,479.99
World Chess Championship 2024 Winnerbacked Ding · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,460Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$2,460
All 2 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+353.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,016Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+353.6%+$3,593.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,920Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$2,080
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$356.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,885Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,884.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.