Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7573b38aa3d3d387be05d7e2b3fa5c397c6cbf1fbfbb5ccbe1d82816b901e9d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Musettiof Musetti, Fritz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,191,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,416,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,191,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 399 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Musetti | 46c | 186,230$86,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,652.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Fritz | 53c | 133,149$70,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,568.93 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Fritz | 56c | 124,146$69,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,583.37 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Fritz | 55c | 91,000$50,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,049.99 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Musetti | 45c | 79,257$35,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,640.33 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Musetti | 44c | 74,952$33,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,852.13 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Fritz | 56c | 70,000$39,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,200 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Musetti | 45c | 66,667$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,666.67 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…ca34backed Fritz | 55c | 39,698$21,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,737.02 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Musetti | 79c | 39,188$30,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,223.8 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Musetti | 45c | 38,873$17,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,545.64 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Musetti | 44c | 38,867$17,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,589.64 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Musetti | 44c | 27,633$12,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,442 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Musetti | 45c | 19,810$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,809.54 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Musetti | 45c | 19,511$8,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,767.43 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1975…f07bbacked Fritz | 55c | 18,150$9,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,982.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…7f58backed Fritz | 55c | 17,330$9,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,552.3 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13ff…16a3backed Fritz | 57c | 17,000$9,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,690 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Fritz | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,249.97 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Fritz | 22c | 14,480$3,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,124.86 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Fritz | 54c | 14,368$7,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,794.4 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Musetti | 44c | 13,706$5,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,740.33 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Fritz | 22c | 12,169$2,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,631.68 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048b…09efbacked Fritz | 30c | 10,081$3,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024.27 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Fritz | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69c9…e904backed Fritz | 13c | 8,320$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.03 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Musetti | 45c | 8,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Musetti | 44c | 7,599$3,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,252.18 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Fritz | 55c | 7,509$4,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,129.85 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Fritz | 54c | 7,148$3,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,872.28 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Fritz | 55c | 7,000$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,849.99 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Musetti | 45c | 6,575$2,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,646.37 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Musetti | 68c | 6,573$4,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.3 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Musetti | 44c | 6,001$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,341.2 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…74e9backed Fritz | 55c | 5,803$3,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,218.29 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…49d2backed Fritz | 39c | 5,341$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Musetti | 63c | 5,063$3,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.54 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Musetti | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Fritz | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.98 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Musetti | 60c | 4,710$2,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.5 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fritz | 27c | 4,694$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.14 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Fritz | 37c | 4,591$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.03 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Fritz | 55c | 4,545$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Musetti | 44c | 4,515$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,528.61 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Fritz | 34c | 4,416$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Fritz | 48c | 4,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47db…fcf2backed Fritz | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2073…385bbacked Fritz | 5c | 3,602$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.43 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Fritz | 29c | 3,470$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.35 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Musetti | 53c | 3,300$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.95 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Fritz | 28c | 3,120$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Musetti | 45c | 3,026$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.15 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Fritz | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Fritz | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.99 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Fritz | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.99 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Fritz | 1c | 2,998$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Fritz | 33c | 2,965$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.65 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Musetti | 44c | 2,962$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.19 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Fritz | 16c | 2,860$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.55 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…e888backed Fritz | 1c | 2,800$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…86bebacked Musetti | 73c | 2,800$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Fritz | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Fritz | 49c | 2,700$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.99 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…de43backed Musetti | 45c | 2,580$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Fritz | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Musetti | 46c | 2,352$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.24 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Musetti | 68c | 2,261$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.36 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Musetti | 44c | 2,200$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Fritz | 55c | 2,182$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Fritz | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…2525backed Musetti | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Musetti | 45c | 2,000$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.99 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Fritz | 7c | 1,860$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.18 | 656 | 52.1%342 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…b601backed Fritz | 27c | 1,858$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Fritz | 28c | 1,803$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.08 | 394 | 38.1%150 W · 244 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…e644backed Fritz | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…3fb0backed Fritz | 36c | 1,777$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Fritz | 55c | 1,725$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.81 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Fritz | 53c | 1,723$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.72 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Fritz | 56c | 1,688$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.18 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Musetti | 54c | 1,649$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Fritz | 27c | 1,635$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.35 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Musetti | 43c | 1,580$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.6 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Fritz | 56c | 1,545$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.13 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Fritz | 55c | 1,500$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 48cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Fritz | 58c | 1,427$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.18 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc793…59ecbacked Fritz | 34c | 1,400$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Fritz | 26c | 1,400$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…432cbacked Musetti | 59c | 1,312$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.15 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Fritz | 56c | 1,284$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Musetti | 73c | 1,200$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Fritz | 31c | 1,183$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.6 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Fritz | 43c | 1,170$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc2…9c0dbacked Fritz | 52c | 1,160$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…aee2backed Fritz | 30c | 1,159$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Musetti | 73c | 1,152$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Fritz | 3c | 1,150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +66%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Musetti | 45c | 1,112$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.6 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Musetti | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Musetti | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.05 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzthis page
- Musetti vs. Fritz: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Musetti vs. Fritz: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Musetti vs. Fritz: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Musetti vs FritzMusetti won
- Set Handicap: Fritz (-2.5) vs Musetti (+2.5)Musetti won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.