TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x13ff…16a3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Middle East, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 57 out of 100; worst NFL at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$585.33
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$3,330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,330
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,499.99
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,882Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,882.42
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,387Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,386.86
First Round Pool B: USA vs. Italybacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$596Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$595.5
Brewers vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+85.8%+$272.81
Angels vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,754Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+143.4%+$3,948.05
Brewers vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,997Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,996.64
Braves vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,544Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+94%+$5,213.47
Phillies vs. Astrosbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,708Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,707.79
Braves vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,662Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+76.9%+$4,353.01
Red Sox vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,385Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$4,060.32
Diamondbacks vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+127.4%+$1,337.13
Pirates vs. Brewersbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,000
Braves vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,451Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,451.43
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,559.8
BNP Paribas Open: Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,309.99
BNP Paribas Open: Elina Svitolina vs Iga Swiatekbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,690Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$4,810
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Tien (+1.5)backed Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,631Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,631.23
BNP Paribas Open: Learner Tien vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$998
BNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Alexander Zverevbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,589Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,589.15
BNP Paribas Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$702.9
BNP Paribas Open: Learner Tien vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$772Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$531.52
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$482.61
BNP Paribas Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$724.44
BNP Paribas Open: Ben Shelton vs Learner Tienbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,524Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,524
BNP Paribas Open: Terence Atmane vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,425Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+69.5%+$3,075
BNP Paribas Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,584Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,584.06
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$584Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$583.54
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$9,690Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$9,690
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$3,505Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$3,505.43
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,947Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$4,753
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 23.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,355Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$4,354.53
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 34.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,690Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$2,690
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 35.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$2,960
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,610Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$5,610
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,527Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+73.3%+$4,052.98
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$4,132.07
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,766Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+122.3%+$2,158.84
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,920Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+88.4%+$2,580
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Jazzbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,373Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$2,691.38
Bulls vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.04
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.85
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,499Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+217.8%+$5,442.22
Spread: Hornets (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,012Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$2,012
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,998.5
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$332.91
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,749Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+310.8%+$5,437.33
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick34cpaid+123.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,550Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+96.1%+$2,450
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$6,044Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+91.6%+$5,538.57
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Miami vs. Indiana: 1H Moneylinebacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$495
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$327.34
UFC 324: Allen vs. Silva (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$7,496Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$3,861.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,825Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+96.1%+$3,674.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+88.6%+$2,879.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,942Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$2,030.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stagebacked Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,242Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,241.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.