UFC · resolved market

UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6447769c6c2a6931470176868cfa58162dd72f1028d7df7f2dcc0f260c0668c

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Charles Oliveiraof Charles Oliveira, Max Holloway
Resolved: Mar 8, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,511,187

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,511,187 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8c80…02c3backed Charles Oliveira	36c	888,168$319,740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$568,427.25	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.24per pick	52cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Charles Oliveira	35c	724,868$257,056 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$467,811.83	72	45.8%33 W · 39 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Max Holloway	64c	329,589$210,937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210,937.15	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-2.6wins	-0.15per pick	42cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Charles Oliveira	35c	268,433$94,439 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173,993.6	130	39.2%51 W · 79 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a55…f9bebacked Charles Oliveira	36c	240,320$86,515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153,804.64	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+2.0wins	+0.66per pick	34cpaid	+244.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Max Holloway	64c	157,487$101,245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101,244.52	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+5.3wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Max Holloway	65c	157,181$101,937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101,937.36	115	58.3%67 W · 48 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Max Holloway	64c	156,301$99,444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99,444.36	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Max Holloway	64c	156,249$99,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99,999.36	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+2.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Max Holloway	65c	150,000$97,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97,500	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Charles Oliveira	35c	144,443$50,555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93,888.07	352	53.1%187 W · 165 L	+27.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Charles Oliveira	36c	100,717$35,980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64,737.51	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Max Holloway	15c	94,377$13,913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,913	159	39.6%63 W · 96 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Charles Oliveira	36c	90,295$32,630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57,664.74	59	50.8%30 W · 29 L	+5.3wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Max Holloway	65c	85,429$55,349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55,348.77	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Max Holloway	64c	64,691$41,552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41,552.48	371	52.8%196 W · 175 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Max Holloway	65c	54,868$35,404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,403.98	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf438…9559backed Max Holloway	66c	48,469$31,952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,952	87	44.8%39 W · 48 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked Max Holloway	65c	42,000$27,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,300	222	59.5%132 W · 90 L	+15.1wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc29e…a2cabacked Max Holloway	65c	41,071$26,696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,696.19	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.0wins	-0.30per pick	50cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Max Holloway	64c	40,000$25,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,600	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Max Holloway	53c	37,255$19,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,680.33	195	44.6%87 W · 108 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7966…6f94backed Charles Oliveira	35c	36,855$12,796 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,059.12	72	38.9%28 W · 44 L	-5.6wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Charles Oliveira	36c	35,000$12,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,400	115	54.8%63 W · 52 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef50…e3bdbacked Charles Oliveira	35c	34,000$11,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,099.91	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Max Holloway	64c	30,400$19,456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,456	74	52.7%39 W · 35 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d36…45c6backed Max Holloway	0c	30,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Max Holloway	64c	30,000$19,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,200	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-2.0wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Max Holloway	65c	29,433$19,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,100	83	60.2%50 W · 33 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd9d…b730backed Max Holloway	65c	28,670$18,635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,635.42	26	73.1%19 W · 7 L	+4.5wins	+0.17per pick	56cpaid	+45%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Charles Oliveira	59c	28,042$16,513 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,529.19	277	43%119 W · 158 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67d6…b04bbacked Max Holloway	65c	27,799$18,165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,165.36	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.6wins	-0.37per pick	65cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f98…c81abacked Charles Oliveira	36c	27,584$9,930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,653.48	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.64per pick	36cpaid	+177.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Charles Oliveira	35c	27,276$9,588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,688.09	87	54%47 W · 40 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Max Holloway	64c	25,117$16,082 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,082.27	100	35%35 W · 65 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Max Holloway	64c	25,000$16,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,999.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.64per pick	64cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Charles Oliveira	64c	24,429$15,728 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,700.2	134	53%71 W · 63 L	+7.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86cd…504cbacked Charles Oliveira	79c	23,921$19,009 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,912.06	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Max Holloway	64c	23,000$14,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,719.94	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Max Holloway	64c	22,624$14,453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,453.17	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.36per pick	56cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad2b…f091backed Charles Oliveira	36c	22,202$8,076 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,126.4	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.7wins	+0.35per pick	45cpaid	+66.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Max Holloway	64c	20,122$12,878 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,878.06	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Max Holloway	64c	20,000$12,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,799.99	63	46%29 W · 34 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Charles Oliveira	35c	20,000$6,930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,069.85	288	49.7%143 W · 145 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Charles Oliveira	74c	19,513$14,459 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,054.02	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Max Holloway	67c	19,000$12,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,679.91	68	50%34 W · 34 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Max Holloway	64c	18,888$12,088 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,088.1	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-3.0wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Max Holloway	64c	18,000$11,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,520	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.0wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf92a…99acbacked Charles Oliveira	36c	17,411$6,268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,142.92	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5d47…d0a2backed Max Holloway	65c	16,820$10,933 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,933	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Max Holloway	64c	16,197$10,366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,366.08	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-3.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Max Holloway	20c	16,170$3,173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,172.89	145	30.3%44 W · 101 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed Charles Oliveira	35c	15,300$5,355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,944.99	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.16per pick	55cpaid	+73.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dc8…da92backed Max Holloway	65c	15,000$9,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,750	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.65per pick	65cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e3b…eeb1backed Max Holloway	66c	14,458$9,546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,546.23	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2256…0386backed Charles Oliveira	35c	14,286$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,285.71	71	60.6%43 W · 28 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf40…87debacked Max Holloway	64c	14,063$9,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,000.32	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Max Holloway	19c	13,918$2,653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,653.38	201	39.8%80 W · 121 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ce…02b2backed Charles Oliveira	35c	13,324$4,663 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,660.64	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+1.3wins	+0.11per pick	31cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Charles Oliveira	36c	12,500$4,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,000	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c95…32ebbacked Max Holloway	2c	12,443$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.51	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf87c…da0cbacked Charles Oliveira	59c	12,239$7,189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,050.22	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+70.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Max Holloway	27c	12,004$3,185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,184.74	274	48.2%132 W · 142 L	+12.7wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Charles Oliveira	46c	11,663$5,310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,352.65	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bcf…e964backed Max Holloway	64c	11,647$7,454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,454.32	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+2.2wins	+0.10per pick	61cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x686f…ccb1backed Max Holloway	57c	11,428$6,486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,485.65	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c29…afadbacked Charles Oliveira	60c	11,282$6,769 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,513.15	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae5…9f23backed Charles Oliveira	36c	10,951$3,942 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,008.82	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.64per pick	36cpaid	+177.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b8c…9390backed Charles Oliveira	36c	10,000$3,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,400	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Max Holloway	64c	10,000$6,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,400	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.3wins	-0.38per pick	55cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Charles Oliveira	73c	10,000$7,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,700	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Max Holloway	64c	9,709$6,220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,220.39	145	51%74 W · 71 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Max Holloway	19c	9,513$1,771 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,771.15	331	32%106 W · 225 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8ee7…6760backed Charles Oliveira	34c	8,959$3,032 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,927.03	73	43.8%32 W · 41 L	+4.5wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Charles Oliveira	35c	8,900$3,091 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,808.99	156	41%64 W · 92 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e8…4675backed Charles Oliveira	33c	8,518$2,795 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,723.82	88	35.2%31 W · 57 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Charles Oliveira	67c	8,480$5,686 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,793.83	377	54.6%206 W · 171 L	+19.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed Max Holloway	64c	8,263$5,288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,288	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Charles Oliveira	66c	8,251$5,426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,825.38	84	34.5%29 W · 55 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8302…f88abacked Charles Oliveira	37c	8,132$2,972 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,159.52	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6aee…fad4backed Charles Oliveira	69c	8,052$5,582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,470.37	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb277…0aaabacked Max Holloway	65c	8,008$5,205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,205.2	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.3wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Charles Oliveira	36c	8,000$2,880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,120	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Charles Oliveira	35c	7,930$2,803 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,126.75	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60cc…ff9bbacked Max Holloway	53c	7,847$4,197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,196.95	20	30%6 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c80…1c3bbacked Max Holloway	65c	7,800$5,054 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,054	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…37cdbacked Max Holloway	51c	7,693$3,899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,898.77	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	+30.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31d8…e99bbacked Max Holloway	65c	7,693$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+42.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Max Holloway	65c	7,692$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Max Holloway	39c	7,451$2,873 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,873.16	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Max Holloway	63c	7,200$4,536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,535.93	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	0%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8b5e…3a87backed Max Holloway	33c	6,782$2,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,239.53	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Max Holloway	40c	6,781$2,709 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,708.56	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Charles Oliveira	36c	6,400$2,304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,096	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.62per pick	38cpaid	+163.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Charles Oliveira	36c	6,387$2,297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,090.14	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa850…f1babacked Charles Oliveira	36c	6,377$2,319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,057.8	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d43…ce68backed Charles Oliveira	36c	6,333$2,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,053.33	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Max Holloway	42c	6,256$2,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,650.2	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e3…1080backed Charles Oliveira	74c	6,229$4,605 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,624.23	57	36.8%21 W · 36 L	-6.7wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Charles Oliveira	33c	6,003$1,981 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,022.33	267	43.8%117 W · 150 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)this page
Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
O/U 3.5 RoundsOver won
O/U 4.5 RoundsOver won
Will Charles Oliveira win by KO or TKO?No won
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?No won
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
Will the fight be won by submission?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event