UFC · resolved market
O/U 2.5 Rounds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ff9654a0397887e6acf571f72ccbc22deab78c88a2c3e0922ab7c9fa24069b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,932 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7966…6f94backed Under | 44c | 10,059$4,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,420.65 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 54c | 7,462$4,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,432.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 59c | 7,181$4,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,954.18 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.94 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 46c | 5,350$2,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Under | 41c | 4,444$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Over | 54c | 3,670$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Over | 56c | 1,695$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.19 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 43c | 1,644$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.79 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 42c | 1,413$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.58 | 417 | 54%225 W · 192 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c5…8874backed Over | 55c | 1,160$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +137.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…4404backed Over | 59c | 1,121$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 45c | 1,111$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.6 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc6…f17abacked Over | 56c | 1,028$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3582…8fc6backed Over | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Over | 54c | 884.86$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.03 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf07…5129backed Over | 61c | 759.02$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Under | 41c | 747.67$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.87 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5844…7d6dbacked Under | 44c | 744$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.23 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 41c | 700$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Over | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Over | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbac2…727bbacked Over | 56c | 538.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.96 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x640e…f2d4backed Over | 56c | 534.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over | 57c | 440.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.47 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdad9…6b63backed Under | 46c | 420$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Under | 45c | 385.51$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.28 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae84…fd9dbacked Under | 41c | 382.93$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…c17fbacked Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…a82fbacked Over | 55c | 320$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 46c | 304.35$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8e…317cbacked Under | 43c | 302.33$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4f…3690backed Under | 46c | 297.26$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.74 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…9840backed Under | 42c | 239.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe665…79bbbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56cb…21a0backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf7…b91dbacked Over | 55c | 181.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc2…7314backed Over | 56c | 148.3$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 58c | 135.69$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad9…00febacked Over | 55c | 135$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Over | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5d…85d3backed Over | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +128.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…2f3dbacked Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +56%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3c8bbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Under | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 45c | 99.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Under | 46c | 95.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…daebbacked Over | 55c | 90.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2422backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38e…af23backed Over | 59c | 89.1$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaf…842ebacked Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d3…a4e4backed Over | 57c | 79.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Over | 59c | 75.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Over | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 46c | 65.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb5…3bf4backed Under | 48c | 63.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38b…380fbacked Over | 57c | 57.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f55…bae8backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…567fbacked Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eff…ec3abacked Under | 41c | 45.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…12a6backed Under | 45c | 44.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Under | 46c | 40.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…3c09backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f34…94d0backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…23d8backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +182.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac7c…424bbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cad…341dbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a4…a671backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6150…d3dfbacked Over | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 51c | 30.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…5c69backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…a3f4backed Over | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…24fabacked Over | 60c | 29.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef1…d82bbacked Over | 60c | 26.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…7409backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf86…b1c1backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…89dcbacked Under | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399c…6191backed Over | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77e9…c72abacked Under | 47c | 23.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d3…59a6backed Over | 55c | 22.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcd…0a9cbacked Over | 58c | 20.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae5…5e36backed Over | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d63…5436backed Over | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcd…74c6backed Over | 60c | 16.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 2.5 Roundsthis page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 3.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 4.5 RoundsOver won
- UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)Charles Oliveira won
- Will Charles Oliveira win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.