TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9f34…94d0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
163
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT11654.3%63 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 116 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-5.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.52
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$48.35
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-5.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$39.65
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-6.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$33.78
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-3.5)backed Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.91
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.9
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.17
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.71
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.34
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$108.93
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-7.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$38
Spread: Houston Cougars (-3.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.57
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.75
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$26.92
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$41.54
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.78
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 164.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.78
Spread: Florida Gators (-9.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.74
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.79
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.65
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-1.5)backed Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.79
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+57.4%+$31.32
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.62
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-4.5)backed Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+109.2%+$43.33
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$39.19
Showing 25 of 116 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+35.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$17.97
Chicago White Sox vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21.54
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Detroit Tigers vs. San Diego Padresbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+181.3%+$45.32
Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$39.18
Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+77.8%+$50.6
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$79.65
NRFI: Detroit Tigers vs. San Diego Padresbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
NRFI: New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.67
All 13 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick62cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$20.22
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mason Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$18.71
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25
UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Raul Rosas Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+30.7%+$3.98
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Drew Dober · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+71%+$21.31
UFC 326: Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Cody Garbrandt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+156.8%+$23.52
UFC 326: Cody Brundage vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Donte Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+25.3%+$8.11
UFC 326: Ricky Turcios vs. Alberto Montes (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Alberto Montes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+54.3%+$10.86
UFC 326: Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar (Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Sumudaerji · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+42.4%+$12.73
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$72.3
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
All 4 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dubrovnik: Mayar Sherif vs Leyre Romero Gormazbacked Leyre Romero Gormaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Miami Open, Qualification: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Dalibor Svrcinabacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$26.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Red Wings vs. Devilsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$5.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$216.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Daniel Berger win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.