TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Miami Marlinsof Colorado Rockies, Miami Marlins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$193,899
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$198,637

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,899 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6814…a9e7backed Miami Marlins49c20,947$10,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,654.012,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Miami Marlins63c15,000$9,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,55015148.3%73 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Colorado Rockies37c10,562$3,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,900.881,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Colorado Rockies37c10,000$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,70047953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Miami Marlins34c9,774$3,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,450.959035.6%32 W · 58 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Rockies63c9,722$6,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,102.3112,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Miami Marlins37c9,042$3,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,717.2618056.1%101 W · 79 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Colorado Rockies50c8,517$4,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,262.711547%54 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Colorado Rockies57c7,466$4,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,264.8465050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Colorado Rockies62c6,854$4,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,261.9334164.2%219 W · 122 L+22.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins63c4,233$2,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.195,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Colorado Rockies37c4,176$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,54512551.2%64 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Miami Marlins52c3,961$2,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,907.967256.9%41 W · 31 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Miami Marlins63c3,650$2,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.3977053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Miami Marlins63c3,174$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.381,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Colorado Rockies64c3,107$1,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,972.921,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Miami Marlins62c3,086$1,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.9121656.5%122 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab75…cce0backed Colorado Rockies39c2,783$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.19666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+49.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Colorado Rockies36c2,649$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.6113349.6%66 W · 67 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Colorado Rockies77c2,520$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.794,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Miami Marlins62c2,455$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.56735.8%24 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins45c2,182$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.559,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Miami Marlins64c2,087$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.321,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c5f…ced0backed Miami Marlins62c1,878$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.361457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Miami Marlins30c1,833$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.721,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x276b…c0c8backed Colorado Rockies8c1,600$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122432.3%1 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-53.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Colorado Rockies38c1,592$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.127839.7%31 W · 47 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed Miami Marlins63c1,590$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.131266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+39.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Miami Marlins43c1,485$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.6416132.3%52 W · 109 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Miami Marlins44c1,370$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.8615550.3%78 W · 77 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Miami Marlins32c1,348$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.6310747.7%51 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Miami Marlins21c1,286$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.711,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Colorado Rockies37c1,190$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.330647.4%145 W · 161 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20f6…0f69backed Miami Marlins33c1,108$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.395137.3%19 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Colorado Rockies61c1,045$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.3338148.6%185 W · 196 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Colorado Rockies3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30834.8%4 W · 79 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa97…b225backed Colorado Rockies57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5701631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-41.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x417e…85e4backed Colorado Rockies3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301118.2%2 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick4cpaid+809.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Colorado Rockies4c900$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368215.9%13 W · 69 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick8cpaid+71.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Colorado Rockies70c894.13$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.0146239.6%183 W · 279 L-17.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4722…2abfbacked Colorado Rockies3c890.04$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7229.1%2 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-45.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Colorado Rockies47c839.07$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.261,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Colorado Rockies37c810.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30094034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f6…55aabacked Colorado Rockies3c800$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246421.9%14 W · 50 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick11cpaid+74.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Miami Marlins55c799.99$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.0529948.8%146 W · 153 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a94…822cbacked Miami Marlins64c796.88$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.885752.6%30 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5318…1118backed Miami Marlins64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.256752.2%35 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Colorado Rockies37c778.38$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28850751.7%262 W · 245 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Colorado Rockies70c771.87$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.8385135.8%305 W · 546 L-23.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1071…e39ebacked Colorado Rockies14c700$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+143.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80f0…1ebebacked Colorado Rockies37c668.14$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.212934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Miami Marlins57c639.2$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.1155541.4%230 W · 325 L-26.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Colorado Rockies66c629.71$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.658,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Miami Marlins18c629.32$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.7611125.2%28 W · 83 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Miami Marlins41c612.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.374,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Colorado Rockies37c600$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2223,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies36c599.96$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.996,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Miami Marlins45c562.94$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.41,72250.3%867 W · 855 L+55.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Colorado Rockies48c549$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.046,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Colorado Rockies9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454714.9%7 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d94…593ebacked Colorado Rockies9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+201.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Colorado Rockies37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18559150.3%297 W · 294 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Colorado Rockies4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203,45651.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L+107.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Colorado Rockies66c489.89$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.351,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Miami Marlins61c483.52$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.5746547.1%219 W · 246 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Miami Marlins46c435.22$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.6754941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Colorado Rockies39c433$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.8712350.4%62 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Colorado Rockies49c407.48$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.256,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Colorado Rockies58c395.49$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.442,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Colorado Rockies66c395.2$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.8313549.6%67 W · 68 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Miami Marlins51c388.08$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.921,26947.4%602 W · 667 L-31.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Miami Marlins40c362$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.768644.2%38 W · 48 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Colorado Rockies70c338.99$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.4670735.1%248 W · 459 L-31.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Colorado Rockies36c326.31$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.471,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d8a…e03fbacked Miami Marlins39c320.51$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.517154.9%39 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked Colorado Rockies38c316.32$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12011844.1%52 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b6c…9a83backed Colorado Rockies38c315.79$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206457.8%37 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Miami Marlins64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.513361.7%82 W · 51 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf40e…9addbacked Miami Marlins64c310.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.326958%40 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Colorado Rockies73c300$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21965651.2%336 W · 320 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Miami Marlins63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1111,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7418…ab9fbacked Miami Marlins39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1833627.8%10 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9309…c705backed Colorado Rockies13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39287.1%2 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-38.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79fb…c230backed Colorado Rockies6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1840%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe56…593abacked Colorado Rockies6c292$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.52616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick6cpaid+455.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0654…f5a9backed Miami Marlins58c290$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.715848.1%76 W · 82 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Colorado Rockies64c288.03$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.665,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Colorado Rockies36c275$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.467630.3%23 W · 53 L-10.2wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-38.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Colorado Rockies37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020350.2%102 W · 101 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x714d…6e05backed Miami Marlins40c270.23$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.146437.5%24 W · 40 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Miami Marlins64c264$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.0411953.8%64 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Colorado Rockies38c262.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.842548%12 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Miami Marlins18c250.28$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.759219.6%18 W · 74 L-7.6wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Miami Marlins64c243$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.4812154.5%66 W · 55 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Miami Marlins46c215.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.431,12144.1%494 W · 627 L-32.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Miami Marlins27c202.24$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.596133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Colorado Rockies34c202$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.437038.6%27 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Colorado Rockies36c200.41$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8317050%85 W · 85 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Miami Marlins64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7222851.3%117 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Colorado Rockies11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228630.2%26 W · 60 L+11.3wins+0.13per pick17cpaid+83.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.