TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7a88…41cc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
624
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT38148.6%185 W · 196 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 381 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,489Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,489.07
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12,856Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9,698.64
Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$5,378Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$6,844.32
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$6,667Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$4,444.4
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangersbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$8,211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,211.31
San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlinsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,085Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,084.99
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$7,916Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,916.22
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$739Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$739.3
Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangersbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$8,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$12,000
Colorado Rockies vs. Athleticsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,298.76
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$6,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,440
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32,968Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32,967.56
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13,905Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$12,835.45
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$7,993Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$11,990.23
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10,133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,133.27
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$152.43
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$4,499.92
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19,636Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,635.51
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26,999Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$22,999.5
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,800
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17,788Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,788.26
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$87,360Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$68,639.98
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25,737Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23,756.95
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,222.12
Showing 25 of 381 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT7050%35 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19,202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,201.77
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,133Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$15,643.75
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$7,811Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,811.06
England vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,000
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)backed Uzbekistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$33,599.62
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30,770Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30,769.65
Spread: Algeria (-1.5)backed Jordan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7,800
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9,799.98
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$7,721Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$2,177.78
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$8,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$12,000
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$142,830Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$64,170
Spread: France (-2.5)backed Iraq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$73,562Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$73,561.61
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,800
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$321,331Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$90,631.95
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed IR Iran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34,844Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$27,377.16
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18,799.97
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6,599.98
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4,400
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,416Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,416.44
Spread: Japan (-1.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10,050Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+148.8%+$14,949.35
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8,400
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,750.03
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$5,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,800
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,081Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,920.96
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46,163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$46,162.57
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT7038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,956Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,956
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$9,202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,202.04
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$7,054Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$6,777.81
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.25
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.85
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13,778Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,777.58
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,310Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,600.61
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13,103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$7,370.2
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$688.89
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,638Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$2,434.9
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,078Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,077.59
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$4,532Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$10,574.75
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$8,395Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,394.89
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$6,074Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,073.53
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,266Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,266.05
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$84,325Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$137,633.79
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17,950Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$4,792.78
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,553Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,553.26
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens backed Habs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$9,099Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$10,898.91
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10,770Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+160.6%+$17,293.94
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$6,819Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,819.19
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$3,782Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+216.6%+$8,192.57
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,211.77
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,946Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,946
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$6,011Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,010.66
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT4734%16 W · 31 L-6.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$7,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$13,511.04
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$6,233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,233.22
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22,399.98
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24,463Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24,463.3
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$3,410Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,409.97
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11,822Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,822.1
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14,008Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6,003.28
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14,433Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,433.17
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20,666Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,666.44
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$8,761Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,761.37
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10,978Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,977.72
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$38,578Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$23,644.36
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,644Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$5,243.91
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12,667Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$20,666.46
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,700
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,222
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35,077Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10,477.64
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$46,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$46,001.81
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11,978Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,977.93
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,309Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,593.76
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,115.67
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$5,934.38
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$44,196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$34,725.27
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$6,113Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$8,441.9
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$9,444Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+135.4%+$12,786.65
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST4440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$2,002.94
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18,455Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$18,455.24
Will James Pearce Jr. be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.4
Will Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+35.6%+$569.93
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$769Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$768.63
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,131.84
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36,111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+53.8%+$19,444.25
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,083Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$3,083.12
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12,367Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12,366.99
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29,502Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+56.2%+$16,592.61
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$335.28
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35,555Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+56.3%+$19,999.8
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$115.44
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15,928Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15,927.94
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14,493Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14,492.9
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,414Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$3,413.61
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$271.66
Will the Eagles win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$396.61
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$195.19
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10,109Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+121.8%+$12,315.7
Spread: Packers (-1.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,667Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$5,666.61
Packers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,841Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$2,841
Packers vs. Bears: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$6,222Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+96.1%+$5,978.1
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,656Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$3,655.89
Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$901Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$901.08
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13,722Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13,722.45
Spread: Indiana (-3.5)backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$70.17
Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$8,165Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+105.5%+$8,613.51
Tennessee vs. Illinoisbacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,777Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+47.1%+$1,777.59
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$229,821Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$63,132.85
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$6,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$3,200
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.