UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00391de40be409be08d438ce5538c743c0c6a26e88421cca9360a77e63cb30ee

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Bernardo Sopajof Bernardo Sopaj, Timmy Cuamba
Resolved: May 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $147,696
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $169,104

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,696 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x39d3…9ef0backed Timmy Cuamba	47c	34,436$16,019 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,019.09	100	35%35 W · 65 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Bernardo Sopaj	53c	23,817$12,688 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,128.22	74	54.1%40 W · 34 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c3f…75cfbacked Bernardo Sopaj	54c	11,244$6,041 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,203.2	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Timmy Cuamba	46c	11,111$5,111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,111.03	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-37%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Bernardo Sopaj	54c	8,804$4,754 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,049.78	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Timmy Cuamba	46c	6,888$3,168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,168.4	288	49.7%143 W · 145 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Timmy Cuamba	46c	6,243$2,842 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,841.58	162	44.4%72 W · 90 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf438…9559backed Timmy Cuamba	45c	4,291$1,931 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,931.02	87	44.8%39 W · 48 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd9d…b730backed Bernardo Sopaj	55c	3,750$2,063 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,687.57	26	73.1%19 W · 7 L	+4.5wins	+0.17per pick	56cpaid	+45%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Bernardo Sopaj	52c	3,567$1,841 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,726.06	102	55.9%57 W · 45 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x994b…c047backed Timmy Cuamba	49c	3,531$1,723 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,722.6	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+47.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Bernardo Sopaj	68c	3,410$2,328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,082.28	159	39.6%63 W · 96 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Bernardo Sopaj	54c	3,239$1,749 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,490.02	156	41%64 W · 92 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Timmy Cuamba	13c	2,777$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.51	159	33.3%53 W · 106 L	-8.9wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0506…8c6abacked Timmy Cuamba	38c	2,631$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	168	46.4%78 W · 90 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b12…d642backed Timmy Cuamba	15c	2,500$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.02	51	62.7%32 W · 19 L	+5.2wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+22%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Bernardo Sopaj	54c	2,389$1,284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,104.22	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+4.6wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef50…e3bdbacked Timmy Cuamba	45c	2,250$1,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,012.49	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd72…b6c6backed Timmy Cuamba	36c	2,154$784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$783.84	51	51%26 W · 25 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3601…44fbbacked Bernardo Sopaj	70c	2,139$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$639.02	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed10…d2e5backed Bernardo Sopaj	54c	2,000$1,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$920	226	61.9%140 W · 86 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01bf…070dbacked Bernardo Sopaj	55c	2,000$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$900	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68ea…1a3ebacked Timmy Cuamba	47c	1,919$907 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$907.37	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Bernardo Sopaj	51c	1,856$946 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$909.25	145	51%74 W · 71 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Bernardo Sopaj	75c	1,821$1,367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$454.23	540	56.7%306 W · 234 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Bernardo Sopaj	55c	1,737$955 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$781.65	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+2.4wins	+0.13per pick	42cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Bernardo Sopaj	55c	1,695$932 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$762.68	155	49%76 W · 79 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked Bernardo Sopaj	54c	1,500$810 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$690	252	51.2%129 W · 123 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb69…cfd1backed Bernardo Sopaj	69c	1,447$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$447.33	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4f22…6482backed Bernardo Sopaj	57c	1,233$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$532.68	97	56.7%55 W · 42 L	-6.6wins	-0.07per pick	63cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Bernardo Sopaj	54c	1,191$643 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$547.96	70	68.6%48 W · 22 L	+8.6wins	+0.12per pick	56cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xed99…2677backed Bernardo Sopaj	54c	1,155$622 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$532.75	54	61.1%33 W · 21 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Timmy Cuamba	46c	1,100$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506	178	51.7%92 W · 86 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Bernardo Sopaj	54c	1,080$582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$498.62	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+15%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Bernardo Sopaj	56c	1,071$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$471.43	102	53.9%55 W · 47 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Bernardo Sopaj	52c	1,024$535 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$489.5	72	63.9%46 W · 26 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Timmy Cuamba	46c	1,000$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	136	36%49 W · 87 L	-13.8wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Timmy Cuamba	45c	841.94$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378.87	154	44.2%68 W · 86 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Timmy Cuamba	45c	821.8$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.81	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.9wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Timmy Cuamba	42c	812.93$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.78	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Bernardo Sopaj	53c	793.83$421 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$373.1	56	32.1%18 W · 38 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Bernardo Sopaj	53c	700$371 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$329	76	47.4%36 W · 40 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5b…9b61backed Timmy Cuamba	45c	670.11$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.55	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Bernardo Sopaj	64c	670.07$431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.69	224	38.4%86 W · 138 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a5…0c4bbacked Bernardo Sopaj	55c	643$354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.35	89	40.4%36 W · 53 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Timmy Cuamba	49c	604.29$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.1	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	62cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda00…5c4dbacked Bernardo Sopaj	54c	568.52$307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261.52	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Timmy Cuamba	38c	560.99$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.18	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Bernardo Sopaj	54c	555.56$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.56	161	58.4%94 W · 67 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1d9…5896backed Bernardo Sopaj	54c	555.56$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.56	142	37.3%53 W · 89 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Timmy Cuamba	47c	550$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.5	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+3.8wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31b7…21fbbacked Bernardo Sopaj	54c	544.11$294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250.29	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+7.4wins	+0.19per pick	41cpaid	+54.8%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Bernardo Sopaj	54c	532.27$287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.85	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-3.0wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe96a…b2dbbacked Timmy Cuamba	45c	522.51$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.13	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Timmy Cuamba	41c	509.55$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209	515	33.6%173 W · 342 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Bernardo Sopaj	55c	499.99$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225	367	55.3%203 W · 164 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36ed…4a93backed Timmy Cuamba	40c	499.98$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.99	50	52%26 W · 24 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Bernardo Sopaj	53c	499.96$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.98	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ed1…1657backed Timmy Cuamba	45c	488.49$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.82	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31dd…3c7abacked Timmy Cuamba	47c	485.11$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52f4…2b15backed Timmy Cuamba	39c	479.85$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.12	162	56.8%92 W · 70 L	+10.6wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+67.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed Timmy Cuamba	45c	454.99$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.74	53	30.2%16 W · 37 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Bernardo Sopaj	60c	447.48$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.52	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Timmy Cuamba	45c	444.44$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	63	55.6%35 W · 28 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Bernardo Sopaj	62c	441.9$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.07	180	32.8%59 W · 121 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b4d…5f4abacked Bernardo Sopaj	52c	432.35$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.53	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Timmy Cuamba	47c	430.63$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.2	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc400…9cc4backed Bernardo Sopaj	56c	428.57$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.57	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-4.9wins	-0.15per pick	50cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4a13…ee8dbacked Timmy Cuamba	48c	416.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	60cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda79…daecbacked Timmy Cuamba	47c	408.76$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.15	185	40.5%75 W · 110 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf46…d123backed Bernardo Sopaj	57c	404$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.34	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa195…8c92backed Bernardo Sopaj	54c	400$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+2.4wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Timmy Cuamba	47c	382.97$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Timmy Cuamba	47c	363.16$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.68	261	40.6%106 W · 155 L	-9.8wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Bernardo Sopaj	62c	352.41$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.92	291	51.9%151 W · 140 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Bernardo Sopaj	54c	348.79$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.45	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+4.3wins	+0.19per pick	49cpaid	+42.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Timmy Cuamba	31c	348.61$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.61	331	32%106 W · 225 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Bernardo Sopaj	54c	339.53$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.18	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Timmy Cuamba	42c	315.03$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.99	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f3…1f2abacked Timmy Cuamba	42c	303.6$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.7	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Bernardo Sopaj	52c	300$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144	121	48.8%59 W · 62 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99b1…196abacked Bernardo Sopaj	62c	300$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.51	89	61.8%55 W · 34 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Bernardo Sopaj	67c	298.66$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.66	125	57.6%72 W · 53 L	+11.9wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Bernardo Sopaj	53c	289.99$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.29	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+2.2wins	+0.37per pick	47cpaid	+75.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b12…5ee4backed Bernardo Sopaj	56c	285.37$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.34	74	52.7%39 W · 35 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x663d…7d23backed Bernardo Sopaj	54c	277.78$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.78	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-5.4wins	-0.22per pick	42cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Timmy Cuamba	36c	277.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	60	56.7%34 W · 26 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd299…a41dbacked Bernardo Sopaj	54c	276.41$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.15	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Timmy Cuamba	46c	274.59$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.67	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Timmy Cuamba	47c	274.27$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.77	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86ee…511fbacked Timmy Cuamba	45c	273.4$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.03	60	56.7%34 W · 26 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa24…a75cbacked Bernardo Sopaj	55c	272.73$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.73	106	51.9%55 W · 51 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb6f…740abacked Bernardo Sopaj	55c	272.73$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.73	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+1.8wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+36.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Timmy Cuamba	47c	266.92$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.45	63	39.7%25 W · 38 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Timmy Cuamba	27c	259.94$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.42	274	48.2%132 W · 142 L	+12.7wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7604…78b5backed Bernardo Sopaj	60c	250$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	83	56.6%47 W · 36 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07dd…029bbacked Timmy Cuamba	46c	250$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.81	103	51.5%53 W · 50 L	+8.8wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Timmy Cuamba	28c	235.93$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.98	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+3.1wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+28%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Bernardo Sopaj	72c	234$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.74	385	53.2%205 W · 180 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Bernardo Sopaj	54c	231.48$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.48	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)this page
Fight to Go the Distance?No won
O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
Will Bernardo Sopaj win by KO or TKO?No won
Will Timmy Cuamba win by KO or TKO?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event