TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x01bf…070d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
40
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: AI, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category AI at 51 out of 100; worst UFC at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,097Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,097.37
UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Christian Edwards (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Christian Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$555.97
UFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bernardo Sopaj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$900
UFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Nikolay Veretennikov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$336
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Joaquin Buckley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$991Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$990.6
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Jeremy Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,150
UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Clayton Carpenter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Brando Pericic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,610Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$3,289.82
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Chris Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,779Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,778.81
UFC Fight Night: Manolo Zecchini vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Manolo Zecchini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,687Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,686.54
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Guilherme Pat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,710Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,709.95
UFC Fight Night: Hailey Cowan vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Hailey Cowan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$732Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$731.82
UFC Fight Night: Tresean Gore vs. Azamat Bekoev (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Tresean Gore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+537.2%+$2,805
UFC Fight Night: Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Kyle Nelson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$36,780Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$36,780.29
UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Lance Gibson Jr. (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Lance Gibson Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11,502Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+273.7%+$31,483.35
All 15 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$4,761Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+616.2%+$29,340.41
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,110
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,178.7
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$311.17
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the third best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.86
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$180
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+76.8%+$161.61
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$650
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 129m and 143m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 115m and 129m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 137m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$203
Will "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 33m and 35m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 33m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$400
All 13 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-60.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$87.88
Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H Moneylinebacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50.72
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,208Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$4,207.77
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$3,857Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+340.9%+$13,148.37
All 4 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$210
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$204
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,564Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$2,563.53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.