Movies · resolved market
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 129m and 143m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9bf70c41b34c6c3dc84746b3ca939c15dd3b9af32a4efbec48a5aaa4b6a3ade
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $482,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $271,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $482,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Yes | 1c | 47,087$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.72 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 1c | 43,196$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.37 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ef…be38backed Yes | 0c | 34,083$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…5d71backed Yes | 0c | 27,896$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4028…7de4backed Yes | 2c | 22,850$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.82 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 2c | 18,750$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.25 | 187 | 19.3%36 W · 151 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…8330backed Yes | 1c | 12,324$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.4 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Yes | 1c | 10,753$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…2f24backed Yes | 2c | 10,286$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.84 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 166 | 24.1%40 W · 126 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 1c | 9,484$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.95 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01bf…070dbacked Yes | 1c | 8,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed Yes | 2c | 8,000$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 2c | 7,799$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.83 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…edd4backed Yes | 1c | 6,000$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.2 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb84b…95b1backed Yes | 1c | 5,834$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…d9e2backed Yes | 1c | 5,571$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 5,330$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.85 | 1,393 | 8%111 W · 1,282 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 2c | 5,076$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed Yes | 1c | 5,061$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Yes | 2c | 4,641$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c3…f280backed Yes | 1c | 4,500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc576…747abacked Yes | 0c | 4,315$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 2c | 3,978$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.2 | 118 | 25.4%30 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed Yes | 2c | 3,938$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.27 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 1c | 3,937$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -60%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…47f4backed Yes | 0c | 3,892$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 3,840$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 145 | 5.5%8 W · 137 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa553…3eaebacked Yes | 2c | 3,700$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,322$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c22…444cbacked Yes | 0c | 3,300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…1bd6backed Yes | 1c | 3,213$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked Yes | 4c | 3,103$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.1 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b49…c6debacked Yes | 8c | 2,877$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.3 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x310b…b12abacked Yes | 0c | 2,610$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…eef4backed Yes | 0c | 2,510$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…6718backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…33a6backed Yes | 2c | 2,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433b…f372backed Yes | 1c | 2,346$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 2c | 2,318$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,050$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0366…3dbfbacked Yes | 7c | 2,050$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.65 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb1…3020backed Yes | 1c | 1,869$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,866$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Yes | 1c | 1,828$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…abc0backed Yes | 1c | 1,816$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…46e6backed Yes | 1c | 1,558$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 1c | 1,555$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe304…ac86backed Yes | 1c | 1,391$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4be…58f2backed Yes | 1c | 1,323$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dff…1f35backed Yes | 1c | 1,158$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b8…4c9cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,132$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 57 | 10.5%6 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85f5…ada8backed Yes | 2c | 966.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed Yes | 7c | 913.36$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 7c | 899.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…22dabacked Yes | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Yes | 12c | 705.52$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.17 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8957…e18abacked Yes | 2c | 639$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Yes | 2c | 591.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b3…4e65backed Yes | 2c | 510$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282d…94d5backed Yes | 2c | 451.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2b…53a0backed Yes | 5c | 448.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 6c | 350$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 7c | 309$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…7027backed Yes | 10c | 256.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea8…66c8backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4e…8ae5backed Yes | 14c | 110$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…73cebacked Yes | 12c | 103.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 15c | 88.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 17c | 73.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 17c | 64.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed No | 70c | 19.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 198 | 36.4%72 W · 126 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 129m and 143m?this page
- Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 115m and 129m?No won
- Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?No won
- Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?Yes won
- Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 115m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.