TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb877…a13f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
422
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Cricket, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT24732%79 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 247 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.64
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs VARREL - Map 2 Winnerbacked VARREL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked Wolves Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.17
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$553Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+175.3%+$970.04
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.69
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$15.09
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$10.73
Valorant: Trace Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$14.1
Valorant: Team Secret vs DRX - Map 2 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$247.38
Valorant: Team Secret vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.93
Valorant: TYLOO vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.21
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,347Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,347.19
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.75
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,182Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$928.02
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Pcific Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Pcific Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.08
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,314Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$643.79
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Valorant: T1 vs VARREL - Map 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+49%+$63.55
Valorant: T1 vs VARREL - Map 1 Winnerbacked VARREL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.17
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10,558Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$5,798.76
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.9
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Global Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.15
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.55
Valorant: JD Gaming vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.95
Showing 25 of 247 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT6839.7%27 W · 41 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gujarat Titans win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$446.03
Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$465.56
Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+35%+$23.27
Will Punjab Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$48.19
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$506Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+88.1%+$446.12
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.75
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,398Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$1,235.26
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+300%+$525
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.59
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$509.41
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,138.23
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+88.2%+$49.9
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$551
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$227.99
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,572Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$1,088.31
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Gujarat Titansbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$639Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$639.02
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,693Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,692.59
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$9,154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$2,764.72
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.9
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$330.58
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,287Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$912.97
Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.39
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST3531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stagebacked FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.95
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs CSDIILIT (BO3)backed CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+354.5%+$169.18
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Brute vs Washington (BO3)backed Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$490.52
Counter-Strike: Brute vs Washington - Map 2 Winnerbacked Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+86%+$10
Counter-Strike: Shadows vs Eternal Fire Academy (BO3)backed Eternal Fire Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+81.8%+$76.5
Counter-Strike: japczany vs MASONIC (BO3)backed japczany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$32.9
Counter-Strike: 777 vs FUT Academy (BO3)backed 777 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$33.5
Counter-Strike: 777 vs FUT Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked 777 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$109.48
Counter-Strike: Universe vs WOPA Esport - Map 1 Winnerbacked Universe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$51.67
Counter-Strike: Universe vs WOPA Esport - Map 2 Winnerbacked WOPA Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+34.7%+$45.09
Counter-Strike: Universe vs WOPA Esport (BO3)backed WOPA Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+39.2%+$34.38
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs MANA eSports (BO3)backed ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$51.29
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs MANA eSports - Map 2 Winnerbacked ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$39.93
Counter-Strike: Washington vs CSDIILIT (BO3)backed Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$37.12
Counter-Strike: Washington vs CSDIILIT - Map 2 Winnerbacked CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$41.04
Counter-Strike: Washington vs CSDIILIT - Map 1 Winnerbacked Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$18.3
Counter-Strike: Brute vs HyperSpirit (BO3)backed Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$345.7
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$22.46
Counter-Strike: Brute vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17.39
Counter-Strike: Brute vs HyperSpirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$61.88
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Skinsauna.gg (BO3)backed Skinsauna.gg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.85
Counter-Strike: Truck Drivers vs Sangal ALTERS - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sangal ALTERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+42.9%+$12
Counter-Strike: Truck Drivers vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3)backed Truck Drivers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$92.33
Counter-Strike: FUT Academy vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winnerbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+141%+$100.9
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+48.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+1,129.5%+$180.87
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.68
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.84
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.93
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+234.9%+$45.59
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+631.3%+$74.9
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.21
Will Waymo surpass Uber SF market share in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+50.2%+$23.01
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$389.38
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+28.2%+$18.9
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$228.5
Will Apple's iPhone 17 Pro cost more than $1000 when it launches?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+25%+$4
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.99
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$153.11
Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+66.4%+$152.33
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.33
Will Grok-4 be the top AI before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+45%+$65.47
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$977Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+27.9%+$272.25
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,286.04
Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.26
All 22 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-76.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Avatar 3 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$90.48
Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$41.8
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$2,662Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,661.97
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$38.81
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$90.8
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$22.46
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 129m and 143m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$43.39
Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$94.74
Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 17m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+35.2%+$89.21
"Alien: Earth" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 80 and 89?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.97
"Alien: Earth" Rotten Tomatoes score is 90 or higher?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.98
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 90-94?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.34
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80-84?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$141.35
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 75-79?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+57.9%+$146.75
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 85-89?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60-69?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.83
Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Rotten Tomatoes score be 80 or higher?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.93
Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 70-79?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT+29.6%+$46.86
All 18 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$353.84
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+355.8%+$74.97
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$337.19
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$60.29
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$94.47
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+150%+$270
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+174%+$113.91
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Heretics - Game 3 Winnerbacked Los Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$17.22
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$99.12
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+61.7%+$22.9
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.96
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.2
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.05
All 14 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-58.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 20, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk tweet more August 20 than day before?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Tuesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked LIU Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrii Yermak arrested by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.