Ukraine · resolved market
Andrii Yermak arrested by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44471b42ebd2e8a716ae1b70fb35075449c620c87c40a09103a82ee388f1d781
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked Yes | 10c | 11,399$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.92 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc15a…acacbacked Yes | 16c | 5,998$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.41 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 13c | 5,870$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.72 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 11c | 3,723$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.57 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,031$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.67 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…0752backed Yes | 3c | 1,874$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,851$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.04 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 12c | 1,488$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.3 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed Yes | 17c | 1,400$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed No | 80c | 1,300$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b9…7c7fbacked Yes | 39c | 1,273$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 2c | 1,229$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x295b…2e44backed Yes | 18c | 1,170$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -65%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb164…555cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,066$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +75%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 8c | 1,050$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 14c | 1,032$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.54 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked Yes | 5c | 999.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…2297backed Yes | 11c | 896.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 26c | 880.53$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.94 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb9…84adbacked Yes | 21c | 808.67$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 19c | 798.47$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.17 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked No | 68c | 719.69$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.7 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 77c | 711.44$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.41 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0039…046ebacked Yes | 10c | 678.54$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 3c | 592.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 130 | 2.3%3 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…a7ddbacked Yes | 14c | 590.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 60c | 570.86$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.18 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 8c | 569.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 38 | 0%0 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 5c | 565.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 3c | 557.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 76c | 543.99$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.01 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb30…8a73backed Yes | 9c | 529.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked Yes | 9c | 519.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45dc…bbf2backed No | 80c | 500$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a8…9b29backed Yes | 8c | 472$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…fe67backed Yes | 14c | 412$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f0…1e82backed Yes | 21c | 410.08$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7024…4c4cbacked Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c45…31c4backed Yes | 17c | 356.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked Yes | 29c | 349.51$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9e…e34abacked Yes | 13c | 316.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7534…d51bbacked Yes | 8c | 305$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8350…1439backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 4c | 295.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5175…1546backed Yes | 18c | 274.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Yes | 22c | 274.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aeb…01a8backed Yes | 12c | 262.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7c…8356backed Yes | 11c | 249.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3952…08efbacked No | 73c | 227.04$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.66 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes | 8c | 208$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…0299backed Yes | 27c | 207.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.97 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…f9afbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7153…f2f5backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bdaebacked Yes | 17c | 199.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 11c | 190$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…5da0backed Yes | 13c | 187.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…d6ccbacked Yes | 29c | 171.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed No | 77c | 170$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 18c | 165.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 75c | 159.06$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…62b3backed Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d08…9165backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed No | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9a…144bbacked Yes | 24c | 150$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Yes | 11c | 134.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1269…b18cbacked No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1be4…4a2cbacked Yes | 19c | 128.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb24…4864backed Yes | 14c | 120.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 11c | 119.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Yes | 19c | 118$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4459…3a7cbacked Yes | 18c | 108.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…e412backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef90…14bcbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…6db8backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc1…d7acbacked Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed Yes | 21c | 97.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aac…dfadbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b58…eb2bbacked No | 80c | 85$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…18f1backed Yes | 16c | 82.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6999backed Yes | 20c | 82.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…f21dbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…c4d3backed No | 70c | 76.16$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f8…98e1backed No | 74c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 16c | 73.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 294 | 16%47 W · 247 L | -53.7wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked No | 80c | 70.05$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked No | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43c6…84bdbacked Yes | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5424…63d2backed No | 77c | 67.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab33…cf5dbacked Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…bb12backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x935c…b84dbacked Yes | 29c | 59.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d8…6082backed No | 72c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfda1…abebbacked Yes | 20c | 51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24fd…34aabacked No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Andrii Yermak arrested by December 31?this page
- Andrii Yermak arrested by November 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.