TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbe7c…8356

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
257
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: WNBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 54 out of 100; worst Music at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT4928.6%14 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrii Sybiha appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Foreign Affairs by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$108
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+27%+$4.25
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.74
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Jerry Heil win Vidbir 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Will Khayat win Vidbir 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20.34
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$72.26
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.43
Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+49.3%+$16.5
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$79.6
Andrii Yermak arrested by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.41
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+60.3%+$9.4
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.06
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.7
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33%+$14.9
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.25
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$12.4
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.6%+$21.42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.87
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$105.66
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT3622.2%8 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-58.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Music — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.98
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$82
Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$35.69
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$26.27
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$59.96
Will Croatia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.99
Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.99
Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$213.12
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.33
Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.02
Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.5
Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Will The Life Of A Showgirl by Taylor Swift be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of January 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$81.16
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.17
Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$11.7
Will I'm The Problem by Morgan Wallen be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of January 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$139.06
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will Germany participate in Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+210.1%+$24.08
Will Italy participate in Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3333.3%11 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+102.7%+$101.35
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+666.7%+$354.58
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.44
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?backed Leadership Change · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.96
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$16.6
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.76
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.47
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.26
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$53.7
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25
Nothing Ever Happens: Khameneibacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+212.5%+$34
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+257.1%+$108
Will Trump say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+48.5%+$83.52
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.55
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17
US strike on Syria by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$18.7
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT3013.3%4 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-48.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Emma Stone win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.07
Will Jurassic World Rebirth win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.41
Will "Hamnet" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.37
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.05
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will a contestant numbered 151 - 175 win Beast Games: Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Stellan Skarsgård be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.46
Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will It Was Just an Accident be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+859.7%+$537.48
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+25.6%+$13.45
Will Sound of Falling be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$24.5
Will Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.65
Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.1
Will Blue Moon be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will The Secret Agent be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Sentimental Value be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$46.21
Will One Battle After Another be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$31.6
Will Frankenstein be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$28.07
Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$34.49
Will Sinners be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.45
Will Marty Supreme be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$31.44
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$32.35
Will Hamnet be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$28.44
Will Amy Madigan be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$38.74
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2817.9%5 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-74.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.83
Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$14.39
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.5
Will Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.97
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$49.8
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$78.37
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$27.39
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$121.83
Will Trump admin release any Epstein files on December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$51.18
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$13.82
Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.7
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.57
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.8
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.1
Will Trump visit Israel by October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$135.71
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$124.66
Will Trump say Palestine during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+65.9%+$40.19
Will Trump say Israel 7+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.76
Will Trump say Bibi during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+40.6%+$32.53
Trump deploys National Guard to a blue city by September 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.56
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-91.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.32
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.25
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.91
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$17.15
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.27
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.54
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$14.38
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13.68
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$17.75
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$23.54
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$47.16
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15.09
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.64
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.65
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$26.12
All 18 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-56.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.2
Will Trump say "xAI" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21.2
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Tesla acquire xAI in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46.37
Will Not Like Us by Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched song on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+75.4%+$21.78
Will A Minecraft Movie be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+139.3%+$209.57
Will Mikey Madison be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$13.47
Will Jannik Sinner be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
Will Sydney Sweeney be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$41.91
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$460.93
Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$26.12
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$73.67
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$651Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+47.7%+$310.1
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$47
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$6.3
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-57%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+203%+$33.5
Trump drops Powell investigation before Warsh is confirmed?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Will Kevin Warsh say "Inflation" 10+ times during Nomination Hearing?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.73
Will Kevin Warsh say "Fed" 10+ times during Nomination Hearing?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.43
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$137.56
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$84.82
Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.49
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.15
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+77.5%+$43.67
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$33.72
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.5
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$18.45
All 15 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 20, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$35.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Waka Waka (This Time for Africa)" be played during the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.