Music · resolved market
Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda27a1ef32dfcbed0489ffbed4eb791d097364748b6cfae1c895fa3dc6165261
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef1f…5868backed No | 5c | 4,000$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 53c | 4,000$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,136.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +165.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…f66fbacked No | 3c | 3,100$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Yes | 66c | 2,868$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.36 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9297…0068backed No | 68c | 2,311$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.8wins | -0.47per pick | 60cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked No | 68c | 2,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.98 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…4418backed Yes | 48c | 1,949$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf84f…5c5cbacked Yes | 38c | 1,847$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.08 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 36c | 1,580$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.44 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde45…8238backed Yes | 26c | 1,553$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 31c | 1,401$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.23 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed No | 52c | 1,344$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.75 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1368…220fbacked Yes | 44c | 1,057$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.03 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked Yes | 46c | 1,005$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.95 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f2…e1c1backed Yes | 18c | 932.64$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e40…c827backed Yes | 51c | 916.53$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 25c | 837.89$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.82 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 42c | 820.51$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.17 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…fbb0backed No | 58c | 810.87$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.41 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 57c | 800$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…aa8ebacked Yes | 16c | 737$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f80…2804backed Yes | 42c | 690.03$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.02 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 47c | 630.06$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.08 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9b…a68cbacked No | 10c | 582$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 43c | 577.07$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.55 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b7…d913backed No | 74c | 533$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed No | 75c | 530$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…9134backed No | 74c | 513$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa347…2a40backed No | 74c | 507$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc319…0e0cbacked No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…1fa7backed No | 66c | 499.9$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…ff4ebacked Yes | 28c | 492.13$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…ec6abacked No | 61c | 491.93$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd109…6fa0backed Yes | 46c | 466.77$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fa…f946backed No | 74c | 422.39$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.19 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -83%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73c8…dec4backed Yes | 29c | 406.75$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.04 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc205…eec2backed Yes | 40c | 362.69$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c6…de64backed Yes | 43c | 358.67$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Yes | 42c | 342.71$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.16 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 42c | 338.44$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.82 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Yes | 76c | 333.78$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.58 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5aa…3258backed No | 53c | 319.08$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x037d…161bbacked No | 58c | 299.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x284a…30edbacked No | 58c | 284.37$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked Yes | 25c | 266.63$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.97 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…8087backed No | 75c | 261.13$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6f…b20fbacked Yes | 39c | 253.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.3 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes | 55c | 234$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.1 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x922c…f520backed No | 66c | 229.68$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x621f…7293backed Yes | 45c | 222.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.66 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 30c | 220.3$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.67 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad19…3724backed Yes | 33c | 214.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8045…158cbacked Yes | 48c | 209.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…6645backed No | 71c | 204.32$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 57c | 203.83$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed No | 60c | 200$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.98 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1959…0b3fbacked Yes | 37c | 199.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9521…9e2bbacked No | 60c | 198.36$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Yes | 34c | 196.29$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.06 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 53c | 189.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…e00cbacked Yes | 24c | 183.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.87 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf692…dd55backed Yes | 55c | 181.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b15…96d4backed No | 59c | 178.08$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.62 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 7c | 177.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.53 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 22cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 57c | 175.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 79c | 173.66$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.97 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6c…d024backed No | 61c | 150$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 57c | 147.06$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.51 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 53c | 140.52$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.55 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5428…a4f9backed Yes | 44c | 139.14$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73af…b880backed Yes | 22c | 137.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.59 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 56c | 135.17$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…a134backed No | 80c | 130$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…b18ebacked No | 59c | 127.47$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 29c | 126.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 59c | 125.44$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Yes | 42c | 124.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c31…4525backed No | 67c | 123$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b43…0714backed Yes | 41c | 121.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bf…c7acbacked Yes | 25c | 120.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.56 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…dcd6backed Yes | 46c | 118.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 49c | 117.32$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 49c | 117.2$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…2f5dbacked Yes | 43c | 116.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x095b…25cabacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…c524backed Yes | 31c | 115.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.37 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 46c | 109.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.47 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 75c | 107$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.75 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e33…22febacked No | 47c | 106.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4771…5bfbbacked No | 49c | 103.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30de…729ebacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7c…8356backed No | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 24c | 96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 26c | 96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.39 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…d453backed No | 56c | 93.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9205…2aa7backed Yes | 24c | 93.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…f529backed No | 55c | 90.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Armenia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Estonia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Latvia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.