Music · resolved market
Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1994be98c3e6b7afd27d65e144859b6a37bb5253e5194e9e005c18a9613b861
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Yes | 22c | 1,641$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.07 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked No | 73c | 1,494$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.45 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,191$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 71c | 1,164$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.2 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d03…ef8ebacked Yes | 19c | 1,092$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 16c | 965.44$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.47 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked Yes | 18c | 947$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090c…3c25backed Yes | 21c | 947$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2756…42efbacked No | 79c | 947$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…5aaebacked No | 80c | 892$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1220…741abacked No | 80c | 869$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…ff4ebacked Yes | 25c | 800.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa440…a487backed Yes | 29c | 783.5$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.82 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +72%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9521…766bbacked Yes | 1c | 773.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -77%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1368…220fbacked Yes | 29c | 730.65$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…9896backed Yes | 20c | 689$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc0…fab9backed Yes | 20c | 669$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…8884backed Yes | 18c | 667$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aec…fdafbacked Yes | 18c | 660$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d17…1e5ebacked Yes | 20c | 658$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 71c | 545.49$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.57 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…56cbbacked No | 76c | 469.19$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.6 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 18c | 336.72$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 23c | 314.19$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.52 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d9…2a28backed Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b4…592fbacked Yes | 25c | 271.55$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…e00cbacked Yes | 26c | 269.43$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…8211backed No | 80c | 245$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf383…c49fbacked Yes | 27c | 241.45$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.42 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 26cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 22c | 222.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…e9ebbacked Yes | 26c | 212.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6c…d024backed Yes | 27c | 199.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1959…0b3fbacked Yes | 23c | 199.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d6d6backed Yes | 27c | 199.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 76c | 199.95$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 26c | 190.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd44…f151backed No | 70c | 185.71$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed No | 72c | 182.33$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 24c | 165.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 24c | 162.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 8c | 159.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 22cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd04…15ffbacked Yes | 25c | 154.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 68c | 147.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x376c…f8f2backed Yes | 27c | 141$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x582b…7d2bbacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 73c | 135.18$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x922c…f520backed No | 79c | 133.9$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…6423backed No | 75c | 133.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 72c | 129$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 22c | 127.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 74c | 125.44$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 27c | 120.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Yes | 25c | 119.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 25c | 112.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 69c | 109.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad19…3724backed Yes | 24c | 103.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f80…2804backed Yes | 25c | 102.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ef…a342backed Yes | 32c | 101.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e48…95c7backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e90…1df3backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9f…d1a9backed No | 77c | 97.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 71c | 95.9$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 74c | 88$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2691…232fbacked Yes | 29c | 85.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 22c | 83.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 32c | 81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +320%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x154e…911fbacked No | 79c | 79.87$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 22c | 74.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe14…242bbacked Yes | 32c | 74.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…9582backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb424…3b71backed Yes | 30c | 71.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aec…7de7backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a26…61a7backed No | 73c | 63.68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc30…59a3backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7796…8541backed No | 73c | 61.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…fa1bbacked Yes | 35c | 59.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc205…eec2backed Yes | 34c | 59.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc6…411fbacked Yes | 27c | 55.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 73c | 54.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36e0…19b9backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…9b5abacked Yes | 30c | 49.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 26c | 49.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…c524backed Yes | 22c | 49.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…a06bbacked Yes | 28c | 48.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 40c | 46.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 73c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked No | 61c | 41.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…af5abacked No | 72c | 41.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 80c | 39.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x594e…1c11backed No | 76c | 37.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 74c | 36.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed No | 73c | 34.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…d9a6backed No | 70c | 34.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc533…1a7abacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb095…aea1backed No | 73c | 27.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e2…2068backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Armenia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Estonia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Latvia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.