TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7cc7…8211

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Movies, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 55 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+348.4%+$76.92
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.8
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$156.77
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.5
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.24
Will Cason Wallace lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$169.6
Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$133.38
Will the Denver Nuggets make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.2
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$78.02
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.24
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025–2026 NBA Northwest Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$36.27
Will the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+33.3%+$11.5
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$242.56
Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$652Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$651.7
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+61.8%+$46.59
All 16 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "War Machine" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$127.02
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.34
Will Woo Seung-min make a final pair in Single's Inferno: Season 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$24.11
Will Spike Jonze win Best Director of Commercials at the 78th DGA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$201.24
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$31.87
Will Emma Stone be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$58.14
Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+44.9%+$29.76
Will Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (Sentimental Value) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+108.3%+$69.16
Will Joachim Trier be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+81.8%+$96.3
Will Josh Safdie be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+108.3%+$173.16
Will The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$48.96
Will Benicio Del Toro (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+41.2%+$205.86
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$21.85
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$195.84
Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$73.26
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$306.72
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$331.84
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$554Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$553.5
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$10.32
Will Trump say "Peace" 8+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+81.8%+$225
Will Israel strike 2 countries in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$17.28
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.44
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$14.1
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$32.76
All 12 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.76
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$627Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$220.22
Major solar storm by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$595Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$220.05
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.24
Will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$181.44
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$306.6
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$312.52
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+194.1%+$139.26
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.75
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+49.3%+$42.9
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+76.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$267.96
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$327.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Howard Bison vs. UNCW Seahawksbacked UNCW Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
Will there be 2+ buzzer beaters during the 2026 Men's NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$148.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-02-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+100%+$44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$134.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will four or more people dissent the December Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$28.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperbeat launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$127.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$607Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$606.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.