Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Howard Bison vs. UNCW Seahawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb104629c6a80840fee6a809106848e60e4865b6642b795b81f0d7e674e59120
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Howard Bisonof Howard Bison, UNCW Seahawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb593…28eabacked Howard Bison | 50c | 1,840$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…293cbacked Howard Bison | 50c | 1,554$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ceb…7fc8backed Howard Bison | 50c | 1,009$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…31a9backed UNCW Seahawks | 50c | 972$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02ce…2213backed UNCW Seahawks | 50c | 939$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b9…6447backed Howard Bison | 50c | 931$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef37…f2bcbacked UNCW Seahawks | 50c | 926$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…92b3backed Howard Bison | 50c | 920$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +147.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…a539backed UNCW Seahawks | 50c | 919$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf907…e7dbbacked UNCW Seahawks | 50c | 914$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f91…d531backed UNCW Seahawks | 50c | 912$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed Howard Bison | 50c | 823$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7534…d51bbacked Howard Bison | 50c | 819$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c51…a829backed Howard Bison | 50c | 753$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c6…e25ebacked UNCW Seahawks | 50c | 646$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a8…9b29backed UNCW Seahawks | 50c | 641$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf8…0657backed Howard Bison | 50c | 640$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…8211backed UNCW Seahawks | 50c | 630$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc4…4a8ebacked UNCW Seahawks | 50c | 630$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab21…4b87backed Howard Bison | 50c | 605$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…bacbbacked UNCW Seahawks | 50c | 572$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c9…af45backed UNCW Seahawks | 50c | 512$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +168.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bd…4d4cbacked UNCW Seahawks | 50c | 355$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ef…b300backed UNCW Seahawks | 50c | 326$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.