TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb593…28ea

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst Weather at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.04
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.67
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.1
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$253.98
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.84
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.84
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.56
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.32
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$399.74
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$223.08
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.88
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.37
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$160
Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$206.55
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$461.52
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.50 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.16
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$180.2
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.25
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$28.98
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+270.4%+$370.11
Will "Audit" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+149.4%+$328.25
Will "Greenland" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$193.12
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+334.8%+$1,195.81
All 24 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid+18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.35
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$10.23
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$570.24
Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$66.03
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$232.14
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+244.8%+$1,064.29
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+316.7%+$596.6
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$43.16
Will there be 13 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+31.6%+$213.12
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 60 and 70?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$315.7
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 70 and 80?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$477.4
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.48
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$25.2
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.66
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$54.3
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$479.5
Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$80.28
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$142
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$274.04
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$305.36
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+156.4%+$186.66
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+72.4%+$46.62
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$87.21
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$377.4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+69.5%+$111.93
All 12 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick36cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ryan Gosling attend the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$342.72
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.84
Will "Sentimental Value" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.48
Will "Sinners" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$170.43
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$98.47
Will The Studio win Best Ensemble in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$57.87
Will "Train Dreams" win Best Cinematography at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$66.24
Will "Zootropolis 2" win Best Animated Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+170.3%+$35.28
Will Michael Morris - Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy win Best Director of a Movie for Television at the 78th DGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+117.4%+$104.22
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.35
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$83.88
Will Alfonso López Chau finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.49
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$433.4
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win 95 or more seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+525%+$1,478.4
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9-12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.6
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$12.24
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.32
Will Keir Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$123.25
All 9 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+194.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+164.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+128.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-31.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick12cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)backed Real Oviedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$172.32
Will Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$154.25
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+62.6%+$386.94
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-53.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Howard Bison vs. UNCW Seahawksbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$920
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 158.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$85.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$602.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Daniel Crenshaw be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+177.8%+$116.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $100 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,065Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$456.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$562Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$229.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Grand Rapids Griffinsbacked Milwaukee Admirals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$397.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Robinhood run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$150.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.