Movies · resolved market
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00d88d48d6eac07d4010bf9878b71548af986511ee1fa506a7290257b2a54247
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,407 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 350 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 26c | 11,586$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996.26 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee37…89febacked Yes | 25c | 3,647$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.93 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x838f…bb46backed Yes | 29c | 3,470$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 72c | 2,705$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.12 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…c089backed Yes | 29c | 2,603$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 27c | 2,563$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.42 | 69 | 17.4%12 W · 57 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 73c | 2,345$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.8 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 28c | 2,232$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.33 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 27c | 2,222$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.11 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…2930backed Yes | 28c | 2,027$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.56 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7e…128bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,900$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe4…4975backed Yes | 26c | 1,866$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d34…7c14backed Yes | 34c | 1,843$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.87 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 30c | 1,800$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 84 | 22.6%19 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 21c | 1,600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64be…c653backed Yes | 26c | 1,553$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.61 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 1,491$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 27c | 1,389$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.93 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,380$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.8 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 27c | 1,312$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.53 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 65c | 1,305$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.9 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…78c7backed No | 74c | 1,257$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 70c | 1,218$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.07 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes | 26c | 1,159$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,032$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.96 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 27c | 1,007$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.36 | 178 | 21.3%38 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 29c | 999.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd5…57acbacked Yes | 28c | 999.97$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1930…691cbacked Yes | 26c | 978.36$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…bacbbacked Yes | 27c | 946$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.42 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…474bbacked Yes | 27c | 932.94$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 25c | 930.33$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.79 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 30c | 925$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.07 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 27c | 898$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.74 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed No | 74c | 848$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.48 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked No | 71c | 824.7$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…a617backed No | 72c | 813$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.64 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed No | 72c | 784$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.61 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36c…6b40backed Yes | 29c | 764.34$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 72c | 673.28$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.77 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 74c | 658.29$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.86 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8733…0626backed Yes | 29c | 650.78$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f3…e6aabacked Yes | 28c | 648.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.72 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…419cbacked Yes | 30c | 633.33$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Yes | 25c | 631.31$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.96 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6f…6890backed Yes | 25c | 630$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4999…cc96backed Yes | 20c | 566.79$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.39 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3395…7c66backed Yes | 26c | 542.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70e7…4a70backed No | 75c | 507$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 30c | 500.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 75c | 499.99$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9518…c9e3backed Yes | 29c | 499.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a65…8d8fbacked Yes | 23c | 499.94$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…9916backed Yes | 32c | 496.81$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…92b3backed No | 73c | 494$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +281%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e81…b4dbbacked Yes | 28c | 488.59$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 8c | 485$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9018…e3afbacked Yes | 27c | 479.58$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked No | 73c | 475$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 10c | 458.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…63b6backed Yes | 26c | 452$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca3…9546backed No | 73c | 452$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd07…0058backed Yes | 28c | 448$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.44 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 31c | 444$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.14 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 72c | 441.15$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.76 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09aa…bdb6backed Yes | 24c | 421.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 24c | 419.39$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.17 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 28c | 413.07$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.43 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1055…7dd4backed Yes | 25c | 405.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb407…21c2backed Yes | 23c | 405$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de3…e096backed Yes | 30c | 401.67$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47eb…8195backed Yes | 26c | 396$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.96 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd44…f151backed Yes | 32c | 392.05$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 25c | 364.82$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.04 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec8…e8eabacked Yes | 29c | 361.34$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…8f79backed Yes | 31c | 355.82$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…60c2backed Yes | 38c | 340.08$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddba…d778backed Yes | 29c | 339.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d91…186ebacked No | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904d…8fd8backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 27c | 311.51$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.04 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee9…b637backed Yes | 25c | 310.39$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…b445backed Yes | 26c | 307.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Yes | 32c | 302.53$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fd…b6c8backed No | 69c | 299.99$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 72c | 298.94$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x302a…74e6backed Yes | 29c | 298.59$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…15ddbacked No | 73c | 291$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…ec8dbacked Yes | 27c | 288$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.76 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed Yes | 29c | 287$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.23 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…57e8backed No | 71c | 287$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 24c | 286$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.64 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 63c | 286$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.08 | 237 | 51.9%123 W · 114 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a90…4964backed Yes | 35c | 285.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68e…5620backed Yes | 27c | 281.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…5141backed Yes | 26c | 280.22$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed Yes | 23c | 275.21$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.01 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
- Will It Was Just An Accident win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Sirāt win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will The Voice of Hind Rajab win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.