Movies · resolved market
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcde726fec24de4c7e8217564499026a30e6944a3504fabc68597396440e0c798
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $270,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,948 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 595 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed No | 32c | 32,114$10,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,254.3 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.46per pick | 60cpaid | -76%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 70c | 11,591$8,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.45 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 68c | 9,758$6,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,121.98 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 73c | 7,795$5,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116.43 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -76%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…3c97backed Yes | 68c | 6,936$4,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,230.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb0…f493backed Yes | 65c | 6,435$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 67c | 5,185$3,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.58 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7063…eb48backed Yes | 73c | 4,136$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 69c | 4,005$2,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 31c | 3,714$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.47 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 26c | 3,264$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.41 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…076abacked Yes | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.97 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 75c | 2,991$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.78 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 35c | 2,814$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.99 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64be…c653backed Yes | 68c | 2,591$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed No | 31c | 2,589$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.81 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 69c | 2,510$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.87 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 62c | 1,857$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.02 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5481…554fbacked Yes | 76c | 1,836$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.45 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 64c | 1,563$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.94 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…f919backed Yes | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 68c | 1,413$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.7 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 30c | 1,396$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.89 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed No | 32c | 1,396$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Yes | 77c | 1,300$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…92cabacked No | 36c | 1,217$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.12 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d34…7c14backed No | 32c | 1,205$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.81 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 26c | 1,168$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.98 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…6070backed No | 28c | 1,078$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.74 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 73c | 1,077$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.92 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e0…1acebacked Yes | 70c | 1,037$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 29c | 1,025$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.02 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4faa…fecfbacked No | 35c | 1,012$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.2 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 67c | 1,000$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.23 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Yes | 70c | 1,000$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.78 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 65c | 999.97$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 66c | 999.97$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.99 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed No | 31c | 999.9$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.97 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed No | 30c | 972.14$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.31 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…34e0backed Yes | 65c | 972$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…5d9abacked Yes | 71c | 967.02$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa22e…109cbacked Yes | 65c | 924$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Yes | 67c | 902.53$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223e…fc48backed Yes | 73c | 890.51$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9be1…cb56backed Yes | 67c | 870$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.1 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +65%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 65c | 835.8$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.42 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe80e…9211backed Yes | 68c | 816.94$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.87 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -52%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…29a4backed Yes | 62c | 801.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.09 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be7…46eebacked Yes | 64c | 786$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…920fbacked Yes | 68c | 769.5$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aec…fdafbacked Yes | 66c | 759$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6813…39e6backed No | 34c | 758$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f14…026ebacked Yes | 67c | 746.95$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…30a1backed Yes | 67c | 746.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.86 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb95…d09ebacked Yes | 68c | 731.99$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d5…4d28backed Yes | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe73f…1989backed Yes | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd049…ca58backed Yes | 63c | 719.01$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…89d8backed No | 35c | 715$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…75b7backed No | 36c | 682$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 68c | 676.69$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.54 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…1598backed No | 34c | 669$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.46 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x246f…0ab2backed Yes | 66c | 644$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 70c | 637.04$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b8…ac4cbacked No | 35c | 621$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbd…93f9backed Yes | 65c | 609$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked No | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf26a…3a34backed Yes | 65c | 599.96$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…5548backed Yes | 68c | 591.01$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.09 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 78c | 589$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.42 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…9ae0backed Yes | 64c | 587$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.32 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…83e5backed Yes | 67c | 576$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 63c | 571$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.78 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…b4eebacked Yes | 67c | 570$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed No | 33c | 568.1$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.47 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b82…1712backed No | 34c | 531$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.54 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc7…1a35backed No | 36c | 530$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…4d9abacked Yes | 66c | 523$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03a0…e52abacked Yes | 77c | 521.14$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Yes | 68c | 520.81$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.87 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42b…7577backed No | 34c | 517$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.78 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 32c | 511.53$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.05 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f5…66a9backed Yes | 69c | 510.61$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb44…d3d2backed Yes | 72c | 500$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…ca8dbacked Yes | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed No | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x541c…c462backed Yes | 66c | 499.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 44c | 487$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.88 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c1…8cd6backed Yes | 63c | 470.67$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.14 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7546…2d93backed No | 33c | 464$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f5…8e1ebacked No | 33c | 463$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…4c8bbacked Yes | 67c | 463$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.79 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…2867backed Yes | 64c | 461$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cd…adafbacked No | 32c | 446.88$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes | 68c | 444.43$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.43 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…9a60backed Yes | 66c | 442$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.28 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef4…e2e9backed Yes | 68c | 441.06$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.47 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 32c | 438.5$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.31 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 60c | 427.99$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.2 | 178 | 21.3%38 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 31c | 424.53$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
- Will It Was Just An Accident win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Sirāt win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will The Voice of Hind Rajab win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.