TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6eac…92ca

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Movies, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 56 out of 100; worst AI at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
AI — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.52
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$60.27
Will SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.08
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.74
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$663Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$663.09
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.8
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,012Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,011.5
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$136.51
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.2
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$247.65
Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$581Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$580.53
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.56
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.50 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.42
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.14
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $700b on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$83.2
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+257.1%+$275.76
Will "Elon" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$266.53
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$436.7
All 18 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+32.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$87
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$438.12
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$573Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$366.6
Will "Hamnet" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$103.2
Will One Battle After Another win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$502.46
Will John Stirling die in Bridgerton: Season 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$76
Will Sinners win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$141.36
Will Adolescence win Best Producer of a TV Limited or Anthology Series at the 37th PGA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$74.53
Will "Reality Check: Inside America's Next Top Model" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+26.6%+$7.35
Will "Hamnet" win Outstanding British Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$31.08
Will Jo I-geon make a final pair in Single's Inferno: Season 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$90.3
Will Liz Patrick - SNL50: The Anniversary Special win Best Director of Variety at the 78th DGA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+29.9%+$94.07
Will Eva Victor - Sorry, Baby win Best First-Time Director of a Theatrical Feature Film at the 78th DGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+400%+$299.2
All 13 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Weather — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.24
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$272.35
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.25
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$683Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$682.77
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$512.16
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$128.18
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$261.96
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 60 and 70?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$64.89
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$315.12
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$333.84
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+566.7%+$480.25
Will there be at least 700 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$88.94
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$241.6
Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.46
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$237.51
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$49.2
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$190.6
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+138.1%+$361.92
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+37%+$126.63
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+138.3%+$657.59
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$28.8
All 11 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+46.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+134.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+230%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+92.3%+$148.8
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+47.1%+$84.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leléka win Vidbir 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+244.8%+$213
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$543Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+95.7%+$519.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$283.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX have 12 or more launches in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$176.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Macarthur FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$26.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$382.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.