World Politics · resolved market
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42c21bd74895ca4d8290fc01ab624cc3417272279c2603c1f3555aa191abab08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 25c | 6,592$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.83 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4596…bbe8backed Yes | 16c | 6,195$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd18a…98aebacked Yes | 32c | 5,358$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.98 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…73d7backed No | 75c | 4,930$3,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.52 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed Yes | 0c | 4,826$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 78c | 3,642$2,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.61 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…eb1ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,093$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d59…2589backed Yes | 30c | 3,019$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…26bfbacked Yes | 33c | 2,704$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 1c | 2,700$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 3c | 2,018$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 232 | 25%58 W · 174 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…87ecbacked Yes | 26c | 1,982$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 78c | 1,771$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.24 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed7e…2fe2backed Yes | 29c | 1,365$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.81 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x836c…0a67backed Yes | 19c | 1,327$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…fa0bbacked No | 69c | 1,184$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.85 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 20c | 1,158$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.51 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b15…e32dbacked No | 75c | 1,100$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a41…1cbbbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba3…2328backed Yes | 1c | 913.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6988…f556backed Yes | 31c | 780$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cc…571dbacked No | 77c | 640$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.2 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaffd…b072backed No | 75c | 637$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…92cabacked Yes | 31c | 633$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +230%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2eb…5751backed No | 69c | 633$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…f545backed Yes | 25c | 561$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 64c | 525.33$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.37 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9818…7cd3backed Yes | 25c | 511$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked No | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 20c | 484.35$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.58 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 78c | 458.06$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 70c | 456.84$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x248a…12abbacked Yes | 30c | 450$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce5…64cabacked Yes | 33c | 448.13$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0285…59d6backed No | 75c | 435$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fd…03b6backed No | 74c | 431.15$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.16 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64d8…616bbacked Yes | 19c | 426.24$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 66c | 400$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b0…d650backed No | 72c | 396.56$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…cb5fbacked Yes | 34c | 335.74$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.15 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Yes | 25c | 320$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…8992backed Yes | 32c | 313.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb5…6ebcbacked Yes | 34c | 294$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bc…9cbcbacked Yes | 34c | 294$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f9…8c0ebacked Yes | 34c | 294$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05bd…82cabacked Yes | 34c | 294$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c1…ef0fbacked Yes | 34c | 294$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8b…7ea4backed Yes | 34c | 294$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb2…bf40backed Yes | 34c | 294$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a2…0633backed Yes | 34c | 294$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…3133backed Yes | 34c | 294$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3957…e7afbacked Yes | 34c | 294$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6802…b4f6backed Yes | 34c | 294$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…13e5backed No | 75c | 280$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x353e…a3b9backed Yes | 15c | 273.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 26c | 237.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.08 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 70c | 232.31$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.68 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8eb…55c4backed Yes | 27c | 218.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ba…9918backed Yes | 34c | 215$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3768backed No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…94f7backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 65c | 199$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf5…606bbacked Yes | 15c | 198.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed Yes | 24c | 184.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece1…aaa0backed Yes | 32c | 173.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…9544backed Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df3…a57abacked No | 66c | 151$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc24…bb49backed No | 66c | 151$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc1…788ebacked No | 66c | 151$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e30…76e9backed No | 66c | 151$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe532…f300backed No | 66c | 151$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…8c4bbacked No | 66c | 151$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6c…cb66backed No | 66c | 151$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f4…ecb5backed No | 66c | 151$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0337…9b9cbacked No | 66c | 151$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3393…d63ebacked No | 66c | 151$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…9853backed No | 66c | 151$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa3…ebe7backed No | 66c | 151$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe97b…13c6backed No | 66c | 151$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d8…654cbacked No | 66c | 151$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864f…e1cabacked No | 66c | 151$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9a…74a1backed No | 66c | 151$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94df…a6cdbacked No | 66c | 151$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2186…6001backed No | 66c | 151$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96d…edaabacked No | 66c | 151$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c6…9ba1backed No | 66c | 151$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3049…721abacked No | 66c | 151$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…11fdbacked No | 66c | 151$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7089…7351backed Yes | 25c | 149$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 23c | 146.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed No | 65c | 144.92$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.72 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda7d…2ecdbacked Yes | 35c | 144.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 17c | 130.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde81…7915backed No | 66c | 127$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 66c | 123$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…16bdbacked Yes | 32c | 120$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee4…d6c3backed No | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4703…27bebacked Yes | 24c | 110.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?this page
- Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes won
- Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.