TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6bf5…606b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst Tweets at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$29
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.68
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.81
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$27.25
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.99
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on June 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.5
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+98.6%+$49.65
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.49
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.35
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$18.82
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.73
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27
All 21 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick72cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.92
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$30.1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$45.99
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$796Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$796
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick76cpaid-40.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.49
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$37.25
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.6
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$79
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$38.5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+25.8%+$20.5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+25%+$10
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$121
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$9.53
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.67
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.78
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$78.79
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$120
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick60cpaid+52.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick69cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$101.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$54
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $900M and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ESC Gaming vs Tricked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.