Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e061f5b4ddd7bbc6a56111fa51934ab59394345de9f67c077256775078c6e89

Rebuilt 49 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 14, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,407,578
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $992,509

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,407,578 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 625 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x71f0…a3e8backed Yes	1c	192,237$1,715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,715.11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	2c	119,839$1,937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,936.55	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27d6…21f7backed Yes	0c	60,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x063a…eb4bbacked Yes	13c	31,490$3,998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,998.1	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+101.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	19c	15,938$2,997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,996.63	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	0c	15,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	17c	13,884$2,425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,425.25	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc90…00aebacked Yes	14c	13,187$1,885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,884.68	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	6c	11,913$701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$701.43	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	11c	10,578$1,167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,167.2	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16bd…e288backed Yes	12c	10,348$1,274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,273.91	31	12.9%4 W · 27 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	15c	10,341$1,592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,592.34	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc52c…6732backed Yes	12c	10,066$1,206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,206	39	5.1%2 W · 37 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc42…1814backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9879…f735backed Yes	10c	10,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960.02	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.15per pick	5cpaid	+1,187.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	21c	9,975$2,137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,136.64	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed No	59c	8,114$4,760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,354.3	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes	12c	7,789$969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$969.3	53	11.3%6 W · 47 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x134f…cdb6backed No	67c	7,438$5,017 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,420.78	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x013b…01cfbacked Yes	28c	7,381$2,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,080.28	84	17.9%15 W · 69 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	2c	7,302$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.03	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	4c	6,667$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.76	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1589…688bbacked Yes	48c	6,007$2,888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,888	43	16.3%7 W · 36 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	+246%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55dd…1cccbacked Yes	52c	5,297$2,730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,730.48	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.5wins	-0.41per pick	58cpaid	-74.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6aca…c734backed No	77c	5,143$3,944 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,199.35	63	22.2%14 W · 49 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes	6c	5,063$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.98	155	20%31 W · 124 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2021…a8d5backed Yes	34c	4,612$1,566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,565.54	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	16c	4,462$703 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$702.54	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	19c	4,355$808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$808.16	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9991…9480backed Yes	17c	4,192$706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$706.42	87	11.5%10 W · 77 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5c2…1750backed Yes	12c	4,078$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475.57	209	7.7%16 W · 193 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-17%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce7b…b13ebacked Yes	12c	4,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	11c	3,843$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…568ebacked Yes	67c	3,828$2,583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,582.93	39	15.4%6 W · 33 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	11c	3,811$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.3	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	20c	3,645$729 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$729.39	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56db…171cbacked Yes	5c	3,431$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	58	8.6%5 W · 53 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c86…c4f6backed Yes	21c	3,261$696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$696	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-76.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	33c	3,072$1,019 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,019.48	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	5c	3,038$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.97	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	8c	3,020$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.44	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce05…9176backed Yes	65c	3,000$1,941 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,940.7	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	28cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	8c	2,930$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.17	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x879f…8417backed Yes	13c	2,907$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.85	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-52.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	9c	2,807$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.74	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2a1…41f2backed Yes	12c	2,621$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.18	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	19cpaid	+110.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66d1…d734backed Yes	43c	2,586$1,121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,121	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec2d…de68backed Yes	42c	2,373$1,006 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,005.98	176	12.5%22 W · 154 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5586…a0b6backed Yes	5c	2,146$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.3	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1f…81e6backed Yes	6c	2,042$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.73	70	5.7%4 W · 66 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Yes	9c	2,038$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.57	230	19.1%44 W · 186 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7b…55cebacked Yes	42c	2,000$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$840	127	12.6%16 W · 111 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+56.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c32…377fbacked Yes	9c	2,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5415…2a6ebacked Yes	2c	1,950$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.52	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	6c	1,818$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.2	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes	9c	1,762$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153	86	16.3%14 W · 72 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e40…5f04backed No	77c	1,718$1,315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$403.72	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18dd…6bf2backed Yes	17c	1,680$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.68	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	21cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x952c…be27backed Yes	35c	1,628$574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$574.49	68	22.1%15 W · 53 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x556e…d5ccbacked Yes	27c	1,585$422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$421.53	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.21per pick	19cpaid	+218.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	59c	1,567$927 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$927.06	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes	10c	1,552$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.86	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	+2.8wins	+0.09per pick	14cpaid	+140.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1022…f0cfbacked No	65c	1,546$1,007 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$539.19	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f6a…13f7backed Yes	50c	1,517$757 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$756.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x663a…5c51backed Yes	31c	1,500$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.84	48	18.8%9 W · 39 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c48…056fbacked Yes	30c	1,491$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.7	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	13cpaid	+175.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2917…be8fbacked Yes	8c	1,483$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.9	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c77…05f5backed Yes	2c	1,483$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.11	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+39.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	14c	1,449$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	340	39.7%135 W · 205 L	-12.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d3…9249backed Yes	9c	1,410$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.82	52	7.7%4 W · 48 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b04…6274backed No	68c	1,372$927 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$445.22	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+2.3wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+59.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	23c	1,362$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.12	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0f6…451cbacked Yes	16c	1,300$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.3	158	12%19 W · 139 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8d7…3e75backed Yes	39c	1,217$478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$478.29	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47f…d792backed Yes	42c	1,182$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.34	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+36.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51d6…3836backed Yes	9c	1,178$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.54	150	6%9 W · 141 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa766…6beebacked Yes	43c	1,130$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	+128.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Yes	18c	1,118$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.67	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc363…9fd8backed Yes	39c	1,111$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x248e…7b12backed Yes	8c	1,111$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.35	207	17.4%36 W · 171 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	25c	1,107$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.19	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x552c…be63backed Yes	11c	1,105$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.85	143	14%20 W · 123 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x871a…1451backed Yes	14c	1,100$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.5	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	22cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb863…a3a0backed Yes	33c	1,050$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.36	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9973…bc03backed Yes	21c	1,049$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.5	51	13.7%7 W · 44 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x235e…da5abacked No	62c	1,049$653 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$395.93	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b69…16d4backed Yes	53c	1,041$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$547.82	223	27.8%62 W · 161 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ee4…3485backed Yes	25c	1,031$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+83.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x98fa…d698backed Yes	18c	1,011$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.06	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe98…9e5abacked Yes	13c	1,004$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.4	33	12.1%4 W · 29 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea63…1ebcbacked Yes	46c	1,000$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460.89	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.23per pick	43cpaid	-74.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cde…b42abacked Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	85	8.2%7 W · 78 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e45…ae93backed Yes	45c	1,000$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+206%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a84…3788backed Yes	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	68	23.5%16 W · 52 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb73…8890backed Yes	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	30	10%3 W · 27 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x637b…5c6bbacked Yes	6c	999.99$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f82…2d74backed Yes	25c	992.06$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.43	105	13.3%14 W · 91 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb820…ad71backed Yes	19c	976.65$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.68	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	+113.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…a635backed Yes	8c	951.47$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	71c	949.98$671 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278.95	234	64.5%151 W · 83 L	+23.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event