Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92e9f861a244c81ef2de54a511d49aef4640ee6afa27d7ddee5720964399f8ed

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 13, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $749,353
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $562,940

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $749,353 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 627 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes	16c	32,521$5,107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,106.79	28	25%7 W · 21 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes	3c	25,768$721 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$721.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	28c	19,191$5,453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,453.42	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	3c	17,993$577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$577.26	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	6c	16,523$967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$967.25	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a18…2ef0backed No	78c	12,734$9,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,773.94	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15c2…ebc0backed Yes	25c	9,673$2,437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,436.98	212	11.8%25 W · 187 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	21c	9,500$2,042 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,042.15	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55dd…1cccbacked Yes	46c	8,400$3,823 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,822.95	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.5wins	-0.41per pick	58cpaid	-74.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe5d4…1b12backed Yes	1c	8,256$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	3c	7,191$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.17	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cde…b42abacked Yes	13c	7,000$917 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$916.9	85	8.2%7 W · 78 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No	70c	6,842$4,781 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,061.35	185	31.4%58 W · 127 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-36%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	4c	6,576$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.99	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda81…ed2cbacked Yes	4c	6,550$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8365…bbd1backed Yes	4c	6,410$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f7b…55cebacked Yes	11c	5,602$598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$598.4	127	12.6%16 W · 111 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+56.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4d…bfa0backed Yes	19c	5,419$1,037 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,036.65	32	12.5%4 W · 28 L	-4.0wins	-0.12per pick	25cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x38e2…16a5backed Yes	20c	5,020$1,004 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,004	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x952c…be27backed Yes	6c	4,922$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.5	68	22.1%15 W · 53 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	4c	4,831$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.24	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8acf…22e4backed Yes	42c	4,751$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e26…e972backed Yes	37c	4,019$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,499.99	51	13.7%7 W · 44 L	-4.6wins	-0.09per pick	23cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce7b…b13ebacked Yes	18c	4,000$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$719.98	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1589…688bbacked Yes	7c	3,593$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248	43	16.3%7 W · 36 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	+246%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1022…f0cfbacked No	73c	3,532$2,596 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$936.22	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	16c	3,444$565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$564.74	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea63…1ebcbacked Yes	3c	3,333$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.23per pick	43cpaid	-74.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	3,176$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.38	2,160	3.9%85 W · 2,075 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe29…b07ebacked Yes	3c	3,037$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe944…5c72backed Yes	22c	3,000$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bb4…917dbacked Yes	8c	2,934$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.46	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6589…39e2backed No	79c	2,917$2,290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$626.65	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.23per pick	63cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbcd4…5768backed Yes	3c	2,867$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…568ebacked Yes	31c	2,800$876 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$876.43	39	15.4%6 W · 33 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	78c	2,675$2,084 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$590.58	246	72.8%179 W · 67 L	+15.5wins	+0.06per pick	66cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No	68c	2,582$1,758 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$823.29	439	33%145 W · 294 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed No	68c	2,527$1,713 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$814.04	1,060	8.4%89 W · 971 L	+29.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4ff…24a5backed Yes	34c	2,502$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$850	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.12per pick	26cpaid	-61.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b7b…a88dbacked Yes	20c	2,500$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8b…dbf5backed Yes	20c	2,376$481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481	181	16%29 W · 152 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x80dc…7cf8backed Yes	7c	2,258$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.99	83	14.5%12 W · 71 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Yes	41c	2,172$894 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$894.43	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	22c	2,069$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes	28c	2,067$571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570.95	56	12.5%7 W · 49 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	20cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c32…377fbacked Yes	18c	2,000$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.31	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec2d…de68backed Yes	2c	2,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	176	12.5%22 W · 154 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	3c	2,000$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	6c	2,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2021…a8d5backed Yes	36c	2,000$710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$710	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07d1…2923backed Yes	3c	1,817$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.69	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	32c	1,810$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c56…a4f4backed Yes	35c	1,750$613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$612.5	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22a0…dbc9backed Yes	4c	1,720$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.32	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	20c	1,697$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.32	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9991…9480backed Yes	8c	1,686$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.96	87	11.5%10 W · 77 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	18c	1,636$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.35	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x430e…ed6dbacked No	79c	1,610$1,268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$341.99	209	73.2%153 W · 56 L	+16.3wins	+0.08per pick	65cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x66d1…d734backed Yes	10c	1,597$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes	38c	1,577$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	53	11.3%6 W · 47 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	26c	1,542$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.1	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce05…9176backed Yes	33c	1,500$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	28cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f3f…3dc7backed Yes	44c	1,500$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	18cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	23c	1,490$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.99	781	8.7%68 W · 713 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7707…4fcbbacked Yes	9c	1,470$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.9	33	18.2%6 W · 27 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed No	64c	1,401$894 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$506.94	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x879f…8417backed Yes	30c	1,373$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-52.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5b…a593backed Yes	22c	1,337$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d81…afb3backed Yes	4c	1,280$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.42per pick	8cpaid	+316.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd93…a22bbacked Yes	35c	1,148$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	198	19.7%39 W · 159 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x824c…6874backed Yes	18c	1,146$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.55	43	9.3%4 W · 39 L	-3.9wins	-0.09per pick	18cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb3a…a6efbacked Yes	3c	1,143$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x013b…01cfbacked Yes	22c	1,086$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.29	84	17.9%15 W · 69 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb59f…dbedbacked Yes	8c	1,083$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.77	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed No	54c	1,056$575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$481.32	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa1e…90f7backed Yes	43c	1,027$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.16	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-4.0wins	-0.22per pick	45cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	26c	1,014$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.66	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	19c	1,005$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194	731	15.2%111 W · 620 L	+11.9wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes	21c	1,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x871a…1451backed Yes	18c	1,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	22cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe855…a4adbacked Yes	22c	1,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+46.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x438d…8ef2backed Yes	19c	1,000$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a84…3788backed Yes	34c	1,000$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.92	68	23.5%16 W · 52 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b11…a0f9backed Yes	25c	976$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x347b…a316backed Yes	42c	960.22$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.17	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-2.3wins	-0.18per pick	26cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd046…3432backed Yes	23c	912.37$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.97	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d49…bf50backed No	69c	910.56$625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.65	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5713…e818backed Yes	22c	909.09$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e40…5f04backed Yes	32c	888$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.96	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe343…23fdbacked No	69c	875.13$604 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$271.27	154	35.1%54 W · 100 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87e1…5998backed No	75c	873.44$657 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.38	155	20.6%32 W · 123 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x552c…be63backed No	77c	868.22$666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.19	143	14%20 W · 123 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x963a…fc4cbacked Yes	29c	838$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239	15	40%6 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x111d…85f7backed Yes	32c	815.01$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.38	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd81…8626backed Yes	4c	814.05$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.99	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	12cpaid	+173.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9faa…bbedbacked No	58c	799.98$468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$331.99	175	16.6%29 W · 146 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfb…e887backed Yes	23c	799.62$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.93	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.13per pick	41cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cca…c831backed Yes	28c	793.65$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.93	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	20c	768.13$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	73c	756.44$556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.53	315	65.1%205 W · 110 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event