TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbe29…b07e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
121
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Cricket, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 56 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST2814.3%4 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$329.99
Over $8M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$45.65
Over $6M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30.5
Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$262.8
Over $180M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30.38
Over $200M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$35.09
Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13.1
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$97.64
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$239.14
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$702Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$702.14
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$94.21
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$64.99
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$95.53
Over $15M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,790Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$2,790.07
Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$601Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$600.91
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$69.09
Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$36.14
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+35.5%+$42.31
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+1,017.3%+$3,361.42
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+508.4%+$1,068.89
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,449Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$4,448.56
Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$787Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$786.88
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$79
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,781Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+199.6%+$3,554.36
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST2619.2%5 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.3
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$102.61
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$73
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$529.23
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+323.3%+$426.11
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$52.62
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$153.64
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$506Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+25.1%+$127.25
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$104
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+514.5%+$415.53
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+494.6%+$841.85
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$101
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$237.06
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$218.32
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+271.5%+$903.45
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.9
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.17
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.34
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.39
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.83
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$95.3
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.61
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$126.62
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.87
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 1 Czechia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.97
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$59.13
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.83
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+472.8%+$189.62
Mexico leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$19.78
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.12
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 19 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick12cpaid+12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$126.47
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$145.03
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$40.31
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50.1
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$81.71
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+1,140.9%+$1,895.06
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$171.1
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$84.21
Will the government shutdown end November 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$179.51
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,188Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,188.2
All 11 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1010%1 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick4cpaid-44.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be greater than 520m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$101.76
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$109.16
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 480m and 520m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$260.74
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$592Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$591.89
Will "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$43.72
Will "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 23m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20.55
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+455.6%+$473
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 50m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$53.65
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$43.35
All 10 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+41.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Cricket — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+132.6%+$101.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$67.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$50.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$201.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.