Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01a76381c72295f34fb65ac2e22d871c406c4491ad7197626ac48ff946513b08

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Oct 28, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $286,171
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $243,772

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $286,171 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 390 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5e22…3993backed Yes	19c	11,835$2,197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,196.77	69	31.9%22 W · 47 L	+4.6wins	+0.07per pick	25cpaid	+81%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	24c	7,000$1,660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,659.97	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	42c	5,022$2,094 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,093.66	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes	41c	5,000$2,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,030.04	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.17per pick	24cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa40a…0615backed No	61c	3,778$2,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,478.03	50	18%9 W · 41 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	23c	3,600$812 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$811.7	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	2c	3,507$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.48	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	21c	3,399$698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$697.57	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefda…8dfbbacked Yes	1c	3,099$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.49	171	5.3%9 W · 162 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74c8…e1aabacked Yes	21c	2,991$625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$625	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes	17c	2,862$487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.51	28	25%7 W · 21 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	49c	2,420$1,193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,192.98	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	56c	2,414$1,349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,065.65	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	15c	2,400$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74a2…2ab4backed Yes	28c	2,375$670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$670	48	18.8%9 W · 39 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc950…ad4ebacked Yes	7c	2,251$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf503…39e2backed Yes	26c	2,206$568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$568.03	31	16.1%5 W · 26 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9a44…021cbacked Yes	18c	2,168$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.4	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x96df…1f97backed Yes	18c	2,000$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.84	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	32c	1,908$614 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$613.96	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes	13c	1,562$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.94	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	+2.8wins	+0.09per pick	14cpaid	+140.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f0b…64dabacked Yes	23c	1,406$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	37c	1,368$508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507.63	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be7…4efcbacked Yes	20c	1,304$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.81	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	16cpaid	+55.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ce…01f2backed Yes	24c	1,274$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.94	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1f…81e6backed Yes	7c	1,251$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.75	70	5.7%4 W · 66 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4acd…b7a8backed Yes	43c	1,166$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	58	13.8%8 W · 50 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	4c	1,147$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.37	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Yes	78c	1,104$860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$860.02	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+217.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09fc…4cd4backed Yes	3c	1,090$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.63	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	67c	1,048$706 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$341.71	315	65.1%205 W · 110 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf2c…8c84backed Yes	49c	1,010$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.31	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e55…e157backed Yes	33c	999.52$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.22	75	24%18 W · 57 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8498…d219backed Yes	31c	987.49$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.35	42	4.8%2 W · 40 L	-3.4wins	-0.08per pick	13cpaid	-75.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda10…eeccbacked Yes	46c	976.19$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No	68c	956.51$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306.77	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e2…2953backed No	33c	931.86$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$619.86	221	19.9%44 W · 177 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	51c	930.04$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.46	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed No	53c	929.39$493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$436.27	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99fd…9028backed Yes	71c	899.1$635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$635	121	12.4%15 W · 106 L	-10.9wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x824c…6874backed Yes	30c	785.11$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.86	43	9.3%4 W · 39 L	-3.9wins	-0.09per pick	18cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Yes	33c	759.88$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0a1…0b00backed Yes	48c	728.46$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes	30c	725.96$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.36	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes	19c	706.11$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.56	163	19%31 W · 132 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafbb…7525backed Yes	18c	669.54$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	52	26.9%14 W · 38 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes	14c	650.25$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.08	92	29.3%27 W · 65 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02a0…8ca8backed Yes	55c	640.23$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.09	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.26per pick	43cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4219…6e2cbacked Yes	34c	608.39$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.18	63	25.4%16 W · 47 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87e1…5998backed No	74c	600$444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156	155	20.6%32 W · 123 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	44c	569.34$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.11	526	19.8%104 W · 422 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6471…457abacked Yes	53c	561.84$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.01	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa114…fdadbacked Yes	20c	558.69$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.55	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	23cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbcc…09ccbacked Yes	18c	555.71$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	27cpaid	-66%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7de0…7c66backed Yes	70c	549.05$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.5	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe29…b07ebacked Yes	19c	534.53$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf3d…d571backed Yes	23c	531.57$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	53	17%9 W · 44 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63ea…2072backed Yes	32c	528.5$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.32	58	20.7%12 W · 46 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-46%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe343…23fdbacked No	59c	524.83$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.04	154	35.1%54 W · 100 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd081…0cfabacked Yes	12c	505.89$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.06	281	13.5%38 W · 243 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b7e…79e5backed Yes	25c	500.96$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccb4…8d80backed Yes	21c	500.7$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed No	55c	499.98$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.99	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Yes	70c	497.94$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.8	82	11%9 W · 73 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0ce…5839backed Yes	21c	486.69$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.88	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…384fbacked Yes	7c	481.29$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	421	10%42 W · 379 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked No	26c	478.02$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$356.1	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4333…1f57backed No	46c	466.23$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.49	169	69.2%117 W · 52 L	+17.6wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+13%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8ed4…a52abacked Yes	45c	450$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.95	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70e3…5e8cbacked Yes	32c	450$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.09	66	10.6%7 W · 59 L	-5.3wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9991…9480backed No	57c	447.95$257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.25	87	11.5%10 W · 77 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80fc…42c3backed Yes	33c	446.89$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.35	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e45…ae93backed Yes	45c	445.13$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+206%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1804…bd47backed Yes	61c	433.81$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.92	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52e4…7d32backed Yes	59c	426.08$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.5	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked No	71c	413.59$294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.11	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x932f…aeb6backed Yes	25c	407.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes	57c	399.99$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226	486	9.7%47 W · 439 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8134…305fbacked Yes	25c	398.86$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.99	63	17.5%11 W · 52 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd68d…f152backed Yes	45c	375$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.5	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	23c	371.04$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.75	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe86c…10f3backed Yes	8c	364.05$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	18cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8c6…5b8bbacked Yes	75c	360.55$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.44	112	21.4%24 W · 88 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd1c…61d7backed Yes	28c	352.07$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.40per pick	27cpaid	+166.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc37c…ba27backed Yes	65c	349.99$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.75	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed No	29c	345.9$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.9	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+143.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x471e…b99abacked Yes	60c	345$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.66	48	18.8%9 W · 39 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No	42c	343.92$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.79	439	33%145 W · 294 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ae…99b7backed Yes	18c	341.73$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8981…ce82backed No	76c	335$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.67	181	63%114 W · 67 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6503…09f6backed Yes	31c	319.74$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	89	23.6%21 W · 68 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93c4…7599backed Yes	21c	313.47$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.68	230	17%39 W · 191 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9994…03ddbacked Yes	39c	310.79$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	112	4.5%5 W · 107 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x20d1…fe63backed Yes	30c	302.47$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.34	78	21.8%17 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1446…c608backed Yes	56c	302.06$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.34per pick	68cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cca…c831backed Yes	33c	301.02$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60f3…ad37backed Yes	66c	300.77$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	24cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Yes	17c	300$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.7	55	12.7%7 W · 48 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b15…e32dbacked Yes	14c	300$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	37	16.2%6 W · 31 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80c0…f57ebacked Yes	34c	297.64$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	36	11.1%4 W · 32 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event