TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x96df…1f97

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst China Taiwan at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by >29%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 28–29%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+37%+$18.49
Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$421.51
Will Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+163.2%+$32.63
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 60% and 70% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+132.6%+$26.51
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$22.86
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 6-9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Will Bill O’Dea win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Mussab Ali win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+127.3%+$25.45
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
All 17 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$115.45
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+39.2%+$195.91
Will 300 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+135.4%+$677.18
Will anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$19.6
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$61.3
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+33.3%+$125
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+117.4%+$58.69
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$872Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$871.98
Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+118.6%+$583.8
Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$335
Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$380
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-43.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,904Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$4,904.15
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,932Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+211.5%+$6,200.61
Will Unidad por Chile hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+37%+$15.24
Will Chile Grande y Unido hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$10.75
Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$146
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Sunsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+61.3%+$76
Hawks vs. Kingsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+31.6%+$32.11
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.66
All 5 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid+39.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-63.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+27.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
D4vd arrested by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$86.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.9
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$329.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$91.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Krakenbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+156.4%+$31.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+100%+$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+100%+$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$19.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.