Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfd3d267e9893993f70809ad9d0d21e0a56c1651910f128c3a88d6377d766c9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,101,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,160,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,101,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 400 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe405…bf91backed No | 56c | 74,766$41,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,837.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 50c | 41,909$20,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,125.32 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x036e…9276backed Yes | 70c | 39,851$27,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,116.25 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe899…0899backed Yes | 36c | 39,470$14,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,120.49 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 34c | 33,613$11,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,287.86 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7177…ddefbacked Yes | 61c | 32,676$20,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,629.59 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 59c | 24,377$14,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,036.78 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…df9bbacked No | 63c | 23,148$14,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,539.03 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 70c | 23,073$16,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,830.06 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 40c | 19,854$7,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,895.23 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +103%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…1e37backed Yes | 54c | 16,402$8,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,501.64 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed Yes | 42c | 16,169$6,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,378.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac80…97b1backed No | 61c | 15,000$9,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,150 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed No | 4c | 15,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 36c | 14,740$5,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,492.91 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5e…0653backed Yes | 33c | 14,200$4,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,513.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed No | 6c | 14,000$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed Yes | 39c | 13,651$5,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,290.81 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Yes | 50c | 13,575$6,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,793.32 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 36c | 13,500$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,649.95 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 42c | 13,346$5,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,681.47 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 39c | 12,843$5,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,794.3 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked Yes | 42c | 12,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,960 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed No | 36c | 8,207$2,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,991.52 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 43c | 7,323$3,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,183.83 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed No | 64c | 7,166$4,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,608.69 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed No | 60c | 7,150$4,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,295.18 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -10.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -52%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed Yes | 45c | 7,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,880 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…fabfbacked Yes | 63c | 6,446$4,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,368.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked Yes | 61c | 6,390$3,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Yes | 43c | 5,873$2,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.84 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…2339backed Yes | 44c | 5,707$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,207 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9240…a7c7backed No | 58c | 5,600$3,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,243.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…a2b2backed No | 3c | 5,107$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.14 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f2…a919backed Yes | 79c | 5,080$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 52c | 5,048$2,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,607.79 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked No | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x856f…e1d7backed No | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 61c | 4,867$2,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,955.67 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 61c | 4,823$2,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,933.38 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 38c | 4,631$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,877.25 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…07aabacked Yes | 62c | 4,210$2,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.7 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea2…aa19backed No | 67c | 4,200$2,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,814 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614e…4f1bbacked No | 20c | 4,089$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 36c | 4,084$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,598.86 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…ee45backed Yes | 56c | 4,000$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Yes | 74c | 3,926$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.33 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3812…2c5cbacked No | 67c | 3,850$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Yes | 41c | 3,842$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.82 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 38cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes | 37c | 3,719$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.97 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf85f…9800backed No | 62c | 3,226$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2485…08c9backed No | 67c | 3,150$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 17c | 3,131$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.79 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 26c | 3,008$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.71 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d8…68cabacked No | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c5…98e4backed No | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.95 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a9…8266backed No | 56c | 2,917$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Yes | 46c | 2,905$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.22 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 60c | 2,842$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 31cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked No | 6c | 2,800$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 66c | 2,800$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked Yes | 63c | 2,646$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc053…b66dbacked Yes | 49c | 2,578$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 36c | 2,525$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.43 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Yes | 41c | 2,462$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e8…ab20backed No | 62c | 2,420$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.66 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.30per pick | 36cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 46c | 2,391$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.36 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf88f…c334backed Yes | 45c | 2,292$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Yes | 49c | 2,200$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0169…0096backed Yes | 42c | 2,076$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed No | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Yes | 54c | 2,000$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…f4a0backed Yes | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 56c | 1,969$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.84 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed Yes | 38c | 1,866$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.93 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd814…7f65backed Yes | 47c | 1,864$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked No | 48c | 1,801$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.42 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 39c | 1,800$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +5.9wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked No | 37c | 1,742$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.47 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 39c | 1,726$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.31 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 25c | 1,596$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.33 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 42c | 1,580$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.92 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked Yes | 48c | 1,563$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f77…a9a9backed No | 53c | 1,517$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 12c | 1,470$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.87 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1264…819bbacked Yes | 42c | 1,462$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 47c | 1,407$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.21 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed No | 61c | 1,401$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.44 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…3d9abacked Yes | 33c | 1,397$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…cfe2backed Yes | 45c | 1,233$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 41c | 1,232$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.17 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc334…0e88backed Yes | 54c | 1,228$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 45c | 1,200$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed Yes | 69c | 1,195$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…185dbacked Yes | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e2…4c54backed Yes | 43c | 1,160$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77c…a67abacked Yes | 45c | 1,142$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa12b…610cbacked Yes | 34c | 1,139$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…f103backed Yes | 36c | 1,101$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?this page
- Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.