TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf88f…c334

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: World Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 56 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick35cpaid+174.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,468Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+82%+$2,845.4
Will Lee Jun-seok win more than 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.49
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 11% and 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.5
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$745Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+155.3%+$1,156.02
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.26
Will Rafał Trzaskowski or Karol Nawrocki win Śląskie?backed Trzaskowski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+32.5%+$279.46
Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?backed Dan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,856Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,855.87
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,611Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,611.07
Will the next Pope be from Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$817Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$816.94
Will the next Pope be from North America?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+3,705.4%+$486.86
Will the next Pope be from South America?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.76
Will the next Pope be from Asia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$199.84
Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$162.3
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Manitoba in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$70.97
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$187.8
Will the Conservative Party win 7+ seats in Atlantic Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+56.1%+$202.83
Will the Liberal Party win 5+ seats in Alberta?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+66.9%+$312.91
Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Will Carney say "Carbon Tax" during Canadian Election Debate on April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$96.57
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-3.2wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$960
San Francisco Giants vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$450
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,566Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,133.99
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+24.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$960
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,240
Will Georgia win on 2025-10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+82.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-05-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$692Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$296.58
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$322.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+100.9%+$421.39
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$154.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Megaquake in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.55
Megaquake before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,840
Will New York City FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,400
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$772Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$771.87
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ohio vs. Western Michiganbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+96.1%+$294
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$1,500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+33.3%+$28.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Vietnam before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+29.1%+$50.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Devils vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$294
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-12.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$384.02
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.