World Politics · resolved market
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 11% and 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24dff082e905d9448a23b7c48d26c78bc31cf367d50b3d471c00de0171896f0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $831,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $682,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $831,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe051…73edbacked Yes | 0c | 86,194$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.09 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | +115%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 17c | 58,693$9,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,703.74 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 35,547$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.17 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0071…2a63backed Yes | 18c | 25,696$4,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,557.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919a…23b4backed Yes | 14c | 18,000$2,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,435.25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +206.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc124…25cbbacked Yes | 4c | 17,824$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.28 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +95%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…f3b6backed Yes | 25c | 15,718$3,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,914.8 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…7349backed Yes | 19c | 14,676$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 15c | 12,593$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.96 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824e…265abacked No | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…1115backed Yes | 2c | 9,534$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.33 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…a104backed Yes | 12c | 8,802$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.63 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 0c | 7,957$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be5…a7f8backed Yes | 2c | 7,900$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +316.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0773…1539backed Yes | 17c | 7,088$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -70%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ec…c5e2backed Yes | 16c | 7,009$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.92 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb73…370fbacked Yes | 12c | 6,999$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.94 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…1a4cbacked Yes | 22c | 6,868$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.22 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x543a…f2cfbacked Yes | 17c | 6,763$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.23 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…a57cbacked Yes | 16c | 6,273$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x356a…17e7backed Yes | 15c | 6,112$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.3 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 12c | 6,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…936fbacked Yes | 17c | 5,409$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.52 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7561…46a8backed Yes | 19c | 5,347$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6091…972bbacked Yes | 19c | 5,207$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.84 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9b…7faabacked Yes | 0c | 5,173$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…bd18backed Yes | 18c | 4,991$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +161.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae2…12e9backed Yes | 15c | 4,640$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ad…066dbacked Yes | 18c | 4,302$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.63 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…a8b5backed Yes | 13c | 4,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3df…e851backed Yes | 16c | 3,952$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 9c | 3,892$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.3 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…b2d1backed Yes | 19c | 3,804$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae9…5f74backed Yes | 18c | 3,650$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…3622backed Yes | 17c | 3,615$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 11c | 3,564$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.93 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca3…e6c5backed Yes | 17c | 3,519$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…ffd9backed Yes | 18c | 3,497$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.31 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…f802backed Yes | 19c | 3,312$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7e…3e1dbacked Yes | 28c | 3,289$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.79 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…593abacked Yes | 16c | 3,209$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe39f…e4bdbacked Yes | 13c | 3,016$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.74 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 13c | 2,908$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.09 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0783…dd27backed Yes | 22c | 2,821$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,816$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…3fa1backed Yes | 18c | 2,779$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 15c | 2,767$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.39 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 16c | 2,734$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.33 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…1f8ebacked Yes | 13c | 2,722$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.82 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 16c | 2,720$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.2 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9faa…4d7fbacked Yes | 25c | 2,384$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e32…efcfbacked Yes | 14c | 2,295$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda8e…ef90backed Yes | 17c | 2,240$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce6…107cbacked Yes | 13c | 2,229$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eba…e26ebacked Yes | 15c | 2,217$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 18c | 2,200$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.82 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 18c | 2,177$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.94 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcc…b294backed Yes | 12c | 2,021$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.48 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 75c | 1,974$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.01 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0663…4a2bbacked Yes | 17c | 1,921$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.94 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61de…5d25backed Yes | 18c | 1,893$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 80c | 1,698$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.19 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x545f…6a03backed Yes | 29c | 1,698$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…f7e0backed Yes | 12c | 1,671$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.58 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…3e45backed Yes | 20c | 1,555$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.55 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 30cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe7…8a48backed Yes | 23c | 1,495$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.71 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x621c…907ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,434$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…e0a0backed Yes | 8c | 1,357$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,338$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.39 | 182 | 14.8%27 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef5…f80ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,319$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x094b…d027backed Yes | 12c | 1,300$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc2…3a0cbacked Yes | 16c | 1,270$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52fc…d7f2backed Yes | 19c | 1,229$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e32…2f5cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,211$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Yes | 17c | 1,207$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.47per pick | 33cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 17c | 1,078$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.82 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…b150backed Yes | 18c | 1,017$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.88 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…36bebacked Yes | 20c | 1,016$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2881…6ff1backed Yes | 20c | 1,014$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2f31backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…07aabacked Yes | 16c | 999.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 16c | 992.76$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.16 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff49…69f5backed Yes | 15c | 991.14$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.58 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 10cpaid | +235.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…5417backed Yes | 12c | 907.23$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 34cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf978…cf69backed Yes | 12c | 895$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…d960backed Yes | 16c | 727$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.32 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.36per pick | 28cpaid | +292.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0287…a0c2backed Yes | 14c | 719$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +125.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa73e…1d9ebacked Yes | 28c | 712.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff8…7695backed Yes | 20c | 705.37$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed92…e5a1backed Yes | 12c | 700$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +643.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 15c | 684$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c7…efe1backed Yes | 21c | 676.16$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…3186backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +6.0wins | +0.40per pick | 13cpaid | +770.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4798…e795backed Yes | 13c | 653.34$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…2870backed Yes | 16c | 641.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66f2…718cbacked Yes | 11c | 617.51$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Yes | 2c | 600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 3cpaid | +428.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…421abacked Yes | 18c | 571.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd136…1db4backed Yes | 12c | 524.14$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lee Jun-seok win between 11% and 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?this page
- Will Lee Jun-seok win between 2% and 5% of the vote in the South Korea election?No won
- Will Lee Jun-seok win between 5% and 8% of the vote in the South Korea election?No won
- Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election?Yes won
- Will Lee Jun-seok win less than 2% of the vote in the South Korea election?No won
- Will Lee Jun-seok win more than 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.