World Politics · resolved market
Will Lee Jun-seok win more than 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7569b01499fe4952edd03e290b703dd3916b148c3331e3f5cc88fa81498e6afb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,712,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,732,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,712,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1252…7349backed Yes | 8c | 128,932$10,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,888.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0071…2a63backed Yes | 10c | 117,647$12,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,061.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe051…73edbacked Yes | 3c | 78,516$2,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,415.99 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | +115%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f1…a619backed Yes | 7c | 69,129$4,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,540.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0773…1539backed Yes | 7c | 57,123$3,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,724.78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -70%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb73…370fbacked Yes | 5c | 48,820$2,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,674.78 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53a…19a4backed Yes | 11c | 43,336$4,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,710.74 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 10cpaid | +175.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1a…c549backed Yes | 18c | 39,312$7,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,163.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +228.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…dbe8backed Yes | 8c | 26,455$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +273.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 21,410$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.05 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ec…c5e2backed Yes | 16c | 21,182$3,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,476.72 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…ffd9backed Yes | 14c | 17,751$2,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545.16 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…3622backed Yes | 13c | 16,793$2,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.89 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…c397backed Yes | 8c | 15,900$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…bd18backed Yes | 14c | 15,860$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +161.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…f1a6backed Yes | 13c | 15,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d05…a1edbacked Yes | 10c | 11,800$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f5…7fbbbacked Yes | 9c | 11,595$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9429…1f8dbacked Yes | 0c | 11,017$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ad…066dbacked Yes | 8c | 10,187$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…1115backed Yes | 2c | 8,954$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.05 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d12…8fe0backed Yes | 6c | 7,874$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…a57cbacked Yes | 8c | 7,846$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46da…b655backed Yes | 10c | 7,797$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc2…3a0cbacked Yes | 10c | 6,086$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718b…6baebacked Yes | 8c | 5,736$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…2ed4backed Yes | 15c | 5,200$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe7…8a48backed Yes | 12c | 5,081$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.05 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x919a…23b4backed Yes | 6c | 5,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.18 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +206.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d8…c6e8backed Yes | 6c | 5,000$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…b150backed Yes | 14c | 4,522$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.31 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb908…cfa6backed Yes | 13c | 4,456$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…bfdcbacked Yes | 5c | 4,312$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9faa…4d7fbacked Yes | 15c | 4,288$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 6c | 4,133$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.46 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x356a…17e7backed Yes | 8c | 4,130$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.28 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…a8b5backed Yes | 6c | 3,920$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 11c | 3,907$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.56 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed Yes | 5c | 3,708$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5146…8436backed Yes | 14c | 3,481$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…8191backed Yes | 11c | 3,443$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 3,298$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.43 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61de…5d25backed Yes | 7c | 3,019$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…3fa1backed Yes | 9c | 2,858$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea95…1247backed Yes | 7c | 2,849$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5049…d8e0backed Yes | 10c | 2,702$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff49…69f5backed Yes | 5c | 2,700$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.06 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 10cpaid | +235.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x545f…6a03backed Yes | 15c | 2,676$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x094b…d027backed Yes | 4c | 2,655$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 11c | 2,611$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.37 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0663…4a2bbacked Yes | 8c | 2,566$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.72 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…5417backed Yes | 7c | 2,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 34cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…a2d2backed Yes | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 13cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcff8…7695backed Yes | 6c | 2,477$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…0261backed Yes | 15c | 2,170$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +90%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52fc…d7f2backed Yes | 7c | 2,025$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a7…3be7backed Yes | 4c | 1,899$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 8c | 1,858$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.26 | 51 | 9.8%5 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe39f…e4bdbacked Yes | 4c | 1,841$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.45 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…593abacked Yes | 11c | 1,809$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…cd82backed Yes | 14c | 1,754$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.6 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 5c | 1,700$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 1,640$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.44 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…08ffbacked Yes | 13c | 1,592$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.55 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc14f…415ebacked Yes | 14c | 1,458$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe755…cbfdbacked Yes | 6c | 1,429$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8e…c98cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,383$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.61 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e32…efcfbacked Yes | 7c | 1,370$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c0…659ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,334$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b2…7c70backed Yes | 12c | 1,300$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…23bebacked Yes | 5c | 1,294$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Yes | 6c | 1,212$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 3cpaid | +428.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4587…3a1ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,203$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed9a…8dd2backed Yes | 6c | 1,200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f2…718cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,150$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa73e…1d9ebacked Yes | 13c | 1,123$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd477…12b4backed Yes | 17c | 1,005$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf281…813bbacked Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf978…cf69backed Yes | 10c | 988.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.42 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x607c…51dfbacked Yes | 9c | 987.51$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…2870backed Yes | 3c | 970$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2f31backed Yes | 9c | 923.8$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.14 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee1…d8c7backed Yes | 9c | 900$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24cf…217cbacked Yes | 6c | 890.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf99…1a91backed Yes | 16c | 821.57$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…905ebacked Yes | 16c | 802.97$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed Yes | 12c | 801.92$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes | 14c | 800$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…5148backed Yes | 15c | 760.6$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.09 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +116.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2acb…bff0backed Yes | 7c | 725.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b2…a49cbacked Yes | 6c | 707.79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +456.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd24…72d0backed Yes | 7c | 700$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 4c | 684$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c21…e2adbacked Yes | 7c | 679.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cd…8c38backed Yes | 7c | 668.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d8…d585backed Yes | 8c | 569.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcc…b294backed Yes | 13c | 540$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…e330backed Yes | 4c | 524.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 8cpaid | +95%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9173…c006backed Yes | 15c | 516.13$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lee Jun-seok win more than 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?this page
- Will Lee Jun-seok win between 11% and 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?No won
- Will Lee Jun-seok win between 2% and 5% of the vote in the South Korea election?No won
- Will Lee Jun-seok win between 5% and 8% of the vote in the South Korea election?No won
- Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election?Yes won
- Will Lee Jun-seok win less than 2% of the vote in the South Korea election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.