TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x935d…08ff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
131
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 57 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT3339.4%13 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,189.49
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,712Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$1,747
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.92
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+383.5%+$208.91
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20.88
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+223.9%+$114.64
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$141.83
Will Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$88.56
Will Carolina Tohá win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$28.34
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$116.02
Will Frances Black win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.91
Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.28
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+66.6%+$80.86
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$20.41
Will turnout be between 66% and 69% in the Czech election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.42
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Norwegian parliamentary election be between 78 and 81%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.96
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Norwegian parliamentary election be between 75 and 78%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+73%+$233.4
Next French Prime Minister appointed by September 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.33
Next French Prime Minister appointed by September 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+613.9%+$413.45
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 5% and 8% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$282.64
Will Kim Moon-soo win more than 40% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+201.1%+$196.6
Will Lee Jun-seok win more than 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$204.55
Will Kim Moon-soo win between 30% and 35% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.83
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$290.34
Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+121%+$51.15
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT3033.3%10 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-41.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$945Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$474.42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+127.4%+$106.89
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$642Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$569.77
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,071Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+57%+$610.56
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.95
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.06
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.68
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.18
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.58
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.05
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,485Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$435.93
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$253.78
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.22
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.32
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.51
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52.76
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+29.8%+$31.38
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+148.8%+$127.53
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.5
Will Israel strike Yemen 4 or more times by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.51
Will Israel strike Yemen 2 times by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$137.23
Will Israel strike Yemen 3 times by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.11
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+178.5%+$307.46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+123.6%+$132.21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$272.02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$66.13
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$315.62
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$64.29
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$68.43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$62.63
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$203.9
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$153.11
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+39.1%+$6.45
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,211Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,210.79
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,315Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+40.5%+$937.8
Will Trump meet with Putin by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.94
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+31.2%+$122.73
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.63
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.82
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$428.03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.89
All 19 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-66.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$377.13
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,758Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$1,124.13
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$584Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$583.6
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 15% and 20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.33
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 20% and 25%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+28.1%+$20.29
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 5% and 10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$226.86
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 10% and 15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$121.81
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$148.98
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.53
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.01
Trump positive favorability on inauguration day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$11.84
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$107.24
Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+37.1%+$22.61
Will Nancy Pelosi attend presidential inauguration?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20.43
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$27.88
Will Giorgia Meloni attend presidential inauguration?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+42.1%+$17.99
Will the first House vote on CR funding bill pass?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$23.84
All 17 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-49.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.54
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+318.4%+$41.63
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.96
Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.06
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$120.4
OpenAI browser in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,880Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+35.6%+$669.06
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$268.08
OpenAI browser by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$157.78
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.56
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$125.23
Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$309.34
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+85.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo get between 15% and 20% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$11.22
Will Andrew Cuomo get between 30% and 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$33.43
Will Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+184.8%+$156.23
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 40% and 50% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$19.82
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+142.7%+$272.69
Will Curtis Sliwa get between 10% and 13% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$18.75
Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+177.6%+$152.95
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+576.5%+$227.21
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-45.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-31.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$138.39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.