World Politics · resolved market
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Norwegian parliamentary election be between 75 and 78%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c035106a36638fa4a21b17522b152a2b4f818af871d62a4057bf0a9cef118eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed No | 64c | 4,174$2,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.16 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Yes | 53c | 3,416$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 46cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb23a…9a75backed Yes | 31c | 1,892$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 20cpaid | +65%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 10c | 1,400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +15.3wins | +0.21per pick | 15cpaid | +188.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked Yes | 9c | 1,002$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.51 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed Yes | 41c | 861.71$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.2 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 45c | 776.55$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.79 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked Yes | 42c | 714.2$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.96 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…08ffbacked No | 58c | 553$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.4 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed No | 67c | 545.35$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.61 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3465…7082backed Yes | 21c | 484.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed Yes | 16c | 463$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.02 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 72c | 401.75$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.69 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1088…b813backed Yes | 24c | 400.32$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 61c | 400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 38c | 332.01$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.85 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 21c | 310.78$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.52 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 41c | 310$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.8 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…f279backed No | 67c | 302.71$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.34 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed No | 79c | 269.39$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.81 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb9…882dbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked Yes | 22c | 180$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 57 | 15.8%9 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 37c | 173.63$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a7…a9cdbacked Yes | 29c | 159.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…1181backed No | 61c | 156.97$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.89 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd037…15aebacked Yes | 20c | 151.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 28c | 145$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.17 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d65…1dfabacked Yes | 19c | 140.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…3028backed No | 43c | 127.39$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.09 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d5…1f99backed Yes | 58c | 110.34$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca3…0182backed Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 20c | 109$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 39c | 105.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02df…22e1backed Yes | 21c | 97.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +323.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecf6…8145backed Yes | 69c | 92$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 71c | 88.97$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…782fbacked No | 25c | 72.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddde…2e88backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…79d0backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55bf…e2ddbacked Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65f5…c1bdbacked Yes | 25c | 49.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 32c | 46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c50…3612backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 32c | 37.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb933…fb0abacked Yes | 62c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…f15abacked Yes | 73c | 20.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will voter turnout in the 2025 Norwegian parliamentary election be between 75 and 78%?this page
- Will voter turnout in the 2025 Norwegian parliamentary election be between 72 and 75%?No won
- Will voter turnout in the 2025 Norwegian parliamentary election be between 78 and 81%?Yes won
- Will voter turnout in the 2025 Norwegian parliamentary election be between 81 and 84%?No won
- Will voter turnout in the 2025 Norwegian parliamentary election be more than 84%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.