TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x17e5…3d19

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,495
Categories scored
38
Categories below 50
24

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst Music at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST37740.6%153 W · 224 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 377 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+82.4%+$66.34
Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.8
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than 200k employees in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.4
Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.8
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$540.07
Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+27.2%+$24.91
Will TikTok be banned in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.52
Ghislaine Maxwell accuses Trump of sexual misconduct?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47.04
Trump enacts a de minimis crypto tax exemption before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$4.2
Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$407.96
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30%+$53.17
US forces in Iran in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25.3%+$62.5
Will Trump reopen Alcatraz in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.39
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$156.63
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,806Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+41.7%+$754.01
Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$622Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$622.4
Will Stephen Miller be next National Security Advisor?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12
Will Michael Anton be next National Security Advisor?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37%+$5.4
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$12
Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+39.1%+$211.68
Trump announce run for 3rd term?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Showing 25 of 377 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT19043.7%83 W · 107 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 190 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.26
Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+50.5%+$110.6
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14.15
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+37.7%+$92.58
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$8.4
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+135.7%+$538.1
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$275.53
Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+100%+$30
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+42.2%+$126.75
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+259.9%+$182.2
Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$58.49
Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$158.45
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$120.06
Will Coalition for Unity and Welfare (CUB) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$13.8
Will Our Party (PN) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$11.1
Will Respect Moldova Movement (MRM) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$13.8
Will PVV win 30–32 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+37%+$7
Will CDA win 22–24 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+38.9%+$14
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,035Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+65.2%+$675.06
Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$139.33
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$92.04
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Will Jim Gavin win the Irish Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+55.4%+$30.09
Showing 25 of 190 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT14530.3%44 W · 101 L-12.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-49.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tweets — the 145 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 1500 or more times September 1–30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+43%+$131.99
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.1
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.55
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.77
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+26%+$4.26
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.67
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$187.98
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+43.1%+$98.61
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.2
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.62
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.16
Will Elon Musk post 30-39 tweets on September 15, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.9
Will Elon Musk post 30-39 tweets on September 12, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.4
Will Elon tweet between 260 and 279 times September 5–12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+27.3%+$38.6
Will Elon tweet between 240 and 259 times September 5–12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.48
Will Elon tweet less than 200 times September 5–12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$266.86
Will Elon Musk post 50-59 tweets on September 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Elon tweet between 450 and 479 times August 29–September 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+334.4%+$62.84
Will Elon tweet between 420 and 449 times August 29–September 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$602Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+61%+$367.63
Will Elon tweet 400 or more times August 29–September 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+38.7%+$36.34
Will Elon tweet 205–219 times August 29–September 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.46
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times August 22–August 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+382.7%+$785.74
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times August 22–August 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$516.35
Will Elon tweet 525–549 times August 15–August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.1
Showing 25 of 145 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST13629.4%40 W · 96 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-48.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 136 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. forces in Gaza in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.89
Iran nuclear test in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.45
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$394
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+77.5%+$222.23
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$268.7
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$37.8
Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.79
Will Israel strike Turkey by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.8
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,206Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+107.6%+$1,298.61
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.7
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+116.9%+$145.5
Israel x Syria security agreement by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+36.1%+$32.11
Will Israel strike Yemen 2 times by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+74.3%+$63.21
Will Israel extradite Tom Alexandrovich to the US by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Another Israel military action against Qatar by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.48
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,329Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+25.6%+$595.72
Israel strikes 3 different countries by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$17
Successful Houthi attack on shipping by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.03
Will Israel strike Yemen 1 time by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+55.1%+$77.41
Israel strike on Yemen by September 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+52.7%+$9.36
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla between September 19-21 ET?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.7
Showing 25 of 136 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT11542.6%49 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 115 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.38
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$95.81
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+163.2%+$18.6
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+66.9%+$34.71
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+41.7%+$170.44
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+46.2%+$82.72
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$11.95
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37.3%+$6.06
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$231.97
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+43.5%+$60.61
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$62.5
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$21.05
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$30.8
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$4,756Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,755.83
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$145
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$30.8
Will Russia capture Siversk by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will Russia capture Velykomykhailivka by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$64
Will Russia capture Shakhove by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$110.89
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.7
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+79.5%+$421.53
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$59.64
Showing 25 of 115 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST9442.6%40 W · 54 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will A Minecraft Movie be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+47.1%+$44.8
Will Zootopia 2 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.26
Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will "One Battle After Another" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 29m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.1
Will "One Battle After Another" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 29m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$8.4
Will "One Battle After Another" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$63.9
Will "A Big Bold Beautiful Journey" gross 150% or more of "The Senior"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.53
Will "Demon Slayer" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $85m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.76
Will "Downton Abbey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$68.4
Will "Downton Abbey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $20m and $23m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$7.29
"Demon Slayer" grosses higher than "The Conjuring" opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.73
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $52m and $57m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.65
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $67m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.35
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $62m and $67m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+31.9%+$10.36
Will "Caught Stealing" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $8.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.3
Will "Caught Stealing" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $8.5-10m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+37%+$5.4
"The Roses" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 65 and 69?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$36
"Caught Stealing" Rotten Tomatoes score is 85 or higher?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.22
"Caught Stealing" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 80 and 84?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.2
Will "Americana" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $1.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.67
Will "Honey Don't" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $3m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+67.6%+$255.36
Will "Nobody 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $8.5-10m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will "Nobody 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $11-12.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.6
Will "Nobody 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $12.5-14m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.46
Will "Nobody 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $11m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.78
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST5635.7%20 W · 36 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
X relaunches Vine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+27.7%+$44.78
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+334.8%+$40.01
Will Nikita Bier be the next CEO of X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.56
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,038Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,037.9
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+63.3%+$31.86
Will Tesla acquire xAI in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Meta have a #1 AI model this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$19.6
Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.9
Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.6
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$3.78
OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+49%+$145.89
Palmer Luckey Erebor Bank chartered in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.1
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.8
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 Superheavy booster?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.81
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 Superheavy explode?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$6.35
OpenAI social app in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$36.47
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$50
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.1
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.6
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+40.9%+$162.9
Will Apple's iPhone 17 Pro cost more than $1000 when it launches?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.59
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.83
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+32.9%+$10.19
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST5131.4%16 W · 35 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+60.7%+$27.54
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$76.98
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.92
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+205.4%+$441.18
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$863Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+27.9%+$241.04
Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+41.5%+$172.93
ECB rate cut in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.55
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$98
Bank of England rate cut in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$45.64
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$122.41
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$299.52
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$395.33
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$63.18
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$79.83
Will the ECB announce no change at the October meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.22
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Fed cut-pause-cut in 2025backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$50.18
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$138.54
Will Powell say "Dissent" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will two people dissent the September Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
Will one person dissent the September Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+154.2%+$36.4
Fed rate cut by December meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will the ECB announce no change at the September meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.7
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT5044%22 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$35.73
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.68
California redistricting referendum passes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+44.9%+$77.5
Will Andrew Cuomo get between 25% and 30% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+26.6%+$10.5
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 40% and 50% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+66.7%+$73.27
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$43.2
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+185.7%+$19.5
Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+49.3%+$6.6
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$78.5
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+26.6%+$13.82
Will Eric Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$45.4
Will Michelle Wu win the 2025 Boston mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$11.03
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,032Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+47.2%+$958.41
Will Cuomo x Mamdani debate two times before election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12.9
Will Obama endorse Mamdani?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+57.9%+$24.92
Will Trump endorse a candidate for NYC Mayor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+61.3%+$15.91
Will Hakeem Jeffries endorse Mamdani?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will Eric Adams drop out first?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.1
Will Kamala Harris endorse Mamdani?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be greater than 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.67
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 11% and 12% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+28.1%+$56
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 12% and 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+458.3%+$197.86
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 9% and 10% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.2
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST4751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+148.4%+$17.92
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.8
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+61.3%+$13.54
Will the US add between 25k and 50k jobs in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+25%+$16
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.50-3.75 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$40.5
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$191.86
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+37.3%+$67.87
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$80
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.50-3.75 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.22
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.75-4.00 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.08
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$543Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+34.3%+$186.6
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.8
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$339.72
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+118%+$252.8
Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+62%+$228.2
Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$127.34
Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be 4.2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+37.8%+$10.97
Will the US add less than 50k jobs in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+490.3%+$70.6
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+89.7%+$180.7
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.50-3.75 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.3
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.25-3.50 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$23.1
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+271.2%+$668.56
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.57
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or less in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST4555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+132.8%+$53.48
Cat 3+ hurricane hits Miami in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30.8
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in September 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+49.3%+$6.6
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in September 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in September 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in September 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$269.17
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in September 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$48.85
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+98.2%+$64.4
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.4
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.10ºC in July 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$43.2
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.92
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05-1.09ºC in June 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$16.8
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00-1.04ºC in June 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
2025 May hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
Another Earthquake 7.0 or above in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.9
Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 75-76°F on May 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on May 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$13.5
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 63-64°F on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 63-64°F on May 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.89
Earthquake 7.0 or above in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+61.6%+$80.07
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 74-75°F on April 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$47.2
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 62-63°F on April 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3026.7%8 W · 22 L-5.0wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-23.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Music — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Justin Bieber song reach #1 this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.6
Will a Sabrina Carpenter song reach #1 again this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37%+$8.1
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$267.52
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$132.26
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.57
Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$330.58
D4vd arrested by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$204.04
Will Russia win Intervision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$29.7
Will Justin Bieber's album "SWAG II" debut at #1 in its first week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$11.4
Will Swag II first-week album sales be 175000 or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Justin Bieber's album 'SWAG II' have over 160k sales in its first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.49
Justin Bieber holds 2 top 10 spots on Billboard Hot 100 for week of September 13th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.8
Sabrina Carpenter's 'Man's Best Friend' >375k first week sales?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$25
Will Drake donate to MrBeast's Team Water by August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.09
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get more than 15m views on day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$196.41
Taylor Swift announces new original album by September 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.66
Will Drake's "Which One" debut at #1 in its first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.79
Will Tyler, The Creator's album 'DON'T TAP THE GLASS' have over 200k sales by July 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$34.8
Will Justin Bieber's album "SWAG" debut at #1 in its first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.64
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.06
Will Audra McDonald win the Tony for Best Leading Actress in a Musical 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will Nicole Scherzinger win the Tony for Best Leading Actress in a Musical 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will John Foster win American Idol season 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$50.28
Will Sweden be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.11
Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.22
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,161Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,161.33
Florida vs. Houstonbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+194.8%+$460.22
Florida vs. Houston combine for 142+ points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$98
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$995Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$690.88
Michigan State vs. Auburnbacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.33
Texas Tech vs. Floridabacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+36%+$47.66
Ole Miss vs. Michigan Statebacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$45.1
Arizona vs. Dukebacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Maryland vs. Floridabacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+37%+$54
Gonzaga vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$70
BYU vs. Wisconsinbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$196.14
Creighton vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$52
Michigan vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$242.67
Arkansas vs. St. John'sbacked St. John's · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$145
Xavier vs. Illinoisbacked Xavier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$78
UC San Diego vs. Michiganbacked UC San Diego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.91
Drake vs. Missouribacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$134
Yale vs. Texas A&Mbacked Yale · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Wofford vs. Tennesseebacked Wofford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.51
VCU vs. BYUbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+83.4%+$127.36
McNeese State vs. Clemsonbacked McNeese State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$100
Creighton vs. Louisvillebacked Creighton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+150%+$120
All 22 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-53.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Space — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.2
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 Superheavy booster?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+94.2%+$99.2
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.26
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+97.1%+$47.96
Will NASA estimate a 5% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.4
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
SpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.1
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 Superheavy explode?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 achieve a succesful splashdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$152.49
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 Superheavy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$44.71
Will Elon be worth $500b before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$22
SpaceX 7th Starship upper stage successful splash down?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$134.8
Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$101.21
SpaceX Starship launch by Nov 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$44.89
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-57.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Joe Flacco start Week 1 for the Browns?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.67
Eagles/Chiefs/Bills ML Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.7
Will the Bengals grow up?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.3
Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Pittsburgh Steelers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$186.06
Will the Giants draft Abdul Carter?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$342.18
Will Travis Hunter be the second pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.96
Will Cam Ward and Shedeur Sanders be drafted 1st and 2nd?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Shedeur Sanders be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.2
Will Donald Trump say "China" 3+ times during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+51.5%+$17
Will Donald Trump say "Gaza" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Donald Trump say "Biden" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6
Chiefs (-1.5) vs. Eagles Spreadbacked Eagles +1.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+96.1%+$24.5
Will the Cowboys hire Kellen Moore as their next head coach?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+51.5%+$6.8
Will Ja’Marr Chase be the top Fantasy Flex Player?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$28.89
All 15 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick25cpaid-77.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$273.3
Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $200k in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.95
Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.06
Opensea token market cap (FDV) $10-15b one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.89
Will El Salvador/Bukele launch a memecoin before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
OpenSea airdrop before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$104
Pump.fun airdrop in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.6
Dogecoin above $0.17 on March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$114
Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$14.67
Will $TRUMP hit $25B FDV by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12.46
Will $TRUMP hit $10B FDV by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Pump.fun launch a token in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Hyperliquid launch a token in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$18.36
$WIF listed on Coinbase in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+219.6%+$97.29
All 14 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+100%+$63.21
Will Hans Niemann win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+41%+$19.53
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$9.89
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$243.26
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess.com Classic tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.28
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.4
Erigaisi vs. Nakamurabacked Nakamura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$96
Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov score the most points at the Freestyle Chess Paris Grand Slam Round Robin?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$58.9
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20.5
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+163.2%+$103.39
Will Magnus Carlsen win the World Rapid Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$129.8
World Chess Championship 2024 Winnerbacked Gukesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+64.8%+$189.08
All 12 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico backed Pico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Poirier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$177.81
Dvalishvili vs. O'Malleybacked O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,828Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,827.5
Muhammad vs. Della Maddalenabacked Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$349.25
Shevchenko vs. Fiorotbacked Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$171
Aldo vs. Zahabibacked Aldo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Grasso vs. Silvabacked Grasso · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
Malott vs. Radtkebacked Malott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$70
Andrade vs. Jasudaviciusbacked Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Santos vs. Leebacked Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$110
Katona vs. Almakhanbacked Almakhan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$135
Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego Lopesbacked Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.9
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+70.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,429Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$771
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+713%+$175.38
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+117.4%+$108
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$361.35
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$223
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$318
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$57.41
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$223.19
Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$5.89
Will Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+300%+$75
All 10 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-36.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+92.3%+$14.4
Xi Jinping seen in public by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.44
Trump x Xi talk before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.07
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+32.8%+$12.57
China bans US films in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Trump increase tariffs on China by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.55
TikTok sale announced before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+73.5%+$109.08
DeepSeek confirmed to have used banned Nvidia chips?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$24.53
TikTok banned in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+36.6%+$54.78
TikTok removed from App Store by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$71.39
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-29.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 20, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-54.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.71per pick30cpaid+502%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+900%+$180
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$45.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mistral AI IPO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Discord IPO in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$6.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-34.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48.74
$MSTR added to Nasdaq 100?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST+30.3%+$29.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. Anyone's Legendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$37.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+156.8%+$240.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$892Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$892.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$179.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.