Token Launches · resolved market
OpenSea airdrop before April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a2aded358445dc568f338b5ce74372eb77ae20b44b05200ee3bc4694223090d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $550,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $545,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $550,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 565 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 78c | 32,727$25,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,211.04 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 77c | 30,355$23,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,946.7 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f2…f09abacked Yes | 56c | 18,470$10,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,409.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1f…34babacked Yes | 23c | 16,580$3,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,777.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 4c | 13,235$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.27 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…663dbacked Yes | 50c | 12,095$6,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,095.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1dc…718abacked Yes | 46c | 10,828$4,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe13b…8a63backed Yes | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -89.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34e…40fcbacked Yes | 0c | 9,995$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 46c | 9,751$4,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,298.94 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +7.7wins | +0.27per pick | 26cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x61c3…54c2backed No | 34c | 8,597$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,671.64 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 61c | 8,089$4,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180.02 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…d1d0backed Yes | 10c | 7,739$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2c…dcbbbacked Yes | 53c | 7,582$4,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,010.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed Yes | 12c | 7,573$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d8…1ba5backed Yes | 58c | 7,228$4,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,170.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f8…3428backed No | 44c | 6,970$3,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,887.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 9c | 5,465$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.99 | 76 | 21.1%16 W · 60 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e5…18f4backed No | 68c | 4,999$3,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.21 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fda…bd72backed Yes | 18c | 4,508$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…9f1fbacked Yes | 13c | 4,278$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…e05cbacked No | 33c | 4,102$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,747.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +202.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x552e…a347backed Yes | 49c | 3,716$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 62c | 3,641$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9d…3a63backed Yes | 57c | 3,571$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…154bbacked Yes | 33c | 3,327$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.72 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9729…4541backed No | 66c | 3,261$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 59c | 3,019$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.76 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d0…8768backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6d…6659backed Yes | 15c | 2,880$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc78d…7328backed No | 35c | 2,800$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 1c | 2,723$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,695.7 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.32per pick | 12cpaid | +985.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1b24…2e06backed Yes | 28c | 2,722$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…06e1backed Yes | 21c | 2,600$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.93 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b70…a1cbbacked No | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa244…dc58backed No | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4b…06cabacked No | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e4…3fd4backed No | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bad…e980backed No | 29c | 2,311$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +246.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 18c | 2,304$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.05 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…ce9dbacked No | 47c | 2,250$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 28c | 2,188$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.96 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…3014backed Yes | 34c | 2,157$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…b665backed Yes | 49c | 2,073$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac61…f5f7backed Yes | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…d729backed Yes | 37c | 1,908$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…9794backed Yes | 69c | 1,875$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.38 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 27c | 1,848$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.97 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99fa…75b7backed Yes | 42c | 1,833$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed No | 42c | 1,737$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.38 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23da…ce35backed Yes | 1c | 1,704$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6454…5053backed Yes | 58c | 1,700$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…1267backed Yes | 35c | 1,622$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6823…8dedbacked Yes | 5c | 1,600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a4f0backed No | 48c | 1,598$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…6d3fbacked Yes | 42c | 1,563$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 48c | 1,546$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.4 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 50c | 1,500$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…a2e7backed Yes | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…a264backed Yes | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…f67ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,500$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc0…4092backed Yes | 44c | 1,471$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.82 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b6…211cbacked No | 63c | 1,451$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes | 42c | 1,442$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc607…bf25backed No | 45c | 1,410$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7d…8406backed Yes | 65c | 1,300$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x214d…facfbacked Yes | 60c | 1,300$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…d51dbacked Yes | 60c | 1,300$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…42adbacked No | 38c | 1,300$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe464…d184backed Yes | 60c | 1,300$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…512bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,277$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.22 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2911…98a7backed Yes | 5c | 1,261$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x641c…4798backed Yes | 61c | 1,250$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7162…641bbacked Yes | 61c | 1,250$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2536…3a83backed No | 55c | 1,231$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…6979backed No | 41c | 1,218$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4624…2c08backed No | 57c | 1,204$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x552d…e189backed No | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51df…9ea3backed Yes | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4cc0backed Yes | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c3…ebf6backed Yes | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Yes | 24c | 1,187$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -82%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 12c | 1,152$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…7bc1backed Yes | 57c | 1,139$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb512…aba5backed Yes | 52c | 1,117$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.36 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf3…f974backed No | 50c | 1,098$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…b229backed No | 70c | 1,082$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…025abacked No | 48c | 1,053$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…c6e0backed No | 22c | 1,022$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +355.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a4…378dbacked No | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…c650backed No | 55c | 997.72$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Yes | 10c | 992.54$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 51c | 984.13$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…034cbacked No | 57c | 963.21$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe222…37fdbacked No | 23c | 945.73$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +114.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8537…0694backed Yes | 23c | 940.12$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2125…b62cbacked Yes | 52c | 934.95$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…a10dbacked Yes | 5c | 914.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa112…d215backed No | 40c | 905.9$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.