TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbb91…b665

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
239
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6344.4%28 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$511Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+501%+$2,560.72
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$15.97
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$347.78
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$532.18
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,217Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+113.9%+$4,803.38
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,600
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,508Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$5,292
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,300
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,700
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,848Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,848
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,800
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,660Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+114.6%+$5,340
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,050
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,700
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,386Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$5,814
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT5641.1%23 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.55
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$894
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11,319Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$5,681.1
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$56.99
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$220
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.58
Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+203%+$100.48
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$96
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,005Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$5,005
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$770
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.75
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,531Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,531.08
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$118
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick44cpaid-59.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$8,905Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,905.4
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,650.32
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,165.45
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13,594Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,594.37
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,242Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,242.04
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23,329Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23,328.92
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$4,498Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,498.3
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,099Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$857.23
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16,424Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4,905.99
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16,181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,180.65
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,068Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,068.09
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$44,533Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$44,533.48
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21,441Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,441.22
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,654Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,654.4
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,209.64
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$385.32
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,517Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$1,235.78
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$8,633Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+87.1%+$7,520.02
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$600.05
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,853Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,853.4
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$141.99
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,720Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$3,280
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$9,129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,128.62
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,980Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$6,776.77
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16,816Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13,758.77
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$594Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$177.43
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13,765Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3,659.06
Will Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,835Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$1,200.77
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$8,080Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$4,544.96
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$93.63
Will SK Slavia Praha vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$7,442Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$7,441.94
Will Sporting CP vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$5,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$5,750
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$17,997.6
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+38.9%+$110.13
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$7,499Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$2,499.5
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$217
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$891Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$891
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$59.29
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,400
Heat vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$12,000
Trail Blazers vs. Knicksbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12,492Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12,491.67
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13,492Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$13,491.73
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST-100%-$257.39
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST-100%-$250.77
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+29.9%+$75.9
Nets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST+26.6%+$67.19
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+44.9%+$108.5
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+25%+$64
Rockets vs. Raptorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+35.1%+$91
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+42.9%+$105
Knicks vs. Pelicansbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+31.6%+$79.2
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$6,205Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST-100%-$6,204.73
Will Boston Celtics 2023-24 NBA Champions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2024, EDT+51.5%+$34
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,003.8
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,415Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,414.51
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$470
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$764Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$365.87
S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$288.48
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$855Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$855
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,181Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+141.8%+$1,673.97
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.52
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$664Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$664.5
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$5,638Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+65%+$3,665.25
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$39,686Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+422%+$167,462.27
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$8,675Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$8,675.1
All 13 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+32.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,299.56
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,605Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,604.6
Athletics vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,899.8
White Sox vs. Dodgersbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,699Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,698.92
Athletics vs. Yankeesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$6,899.31
Yankees vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,799Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$7,198.55
All 6 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,400
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,398Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,397.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+138.1%+$116
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Giants vs. Bills backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$3,049.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Riestra vs. Instituto AC Córdoba end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$6,307Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$3,704.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,079Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$1,097.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$27.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$18.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Utrecht vs. Sparta Rotterdam end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$7,342Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$7,342.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28,604Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$28,604.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,994Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,993.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,005
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shymkent: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Sean Cueninbacked Sean Cuenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,949Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,949.43
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.