Middle East · resolved market
S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21e15cc3c74974d4bc3a9a3f8a1c2f36c47eb4d353bac24f0f19745843d0be28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdefe…17f4backed Yes | 74c | 8,431$6,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a3…e60abacked No | 14c | 7,400$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c2…8c24backed Yes | 61c | 6,795$4,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,631.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 3c | 5,750$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf396…ed0dbacked No | 9c | 3,800$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…17adbacked Yes | 53c | 3,767$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 25c | 3,173$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.34 | 51 | 9.8%5 W · 46 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 12c | 3,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…0dbebacked No | 7c | 2,935$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb8…cf89backed No | 13c | 2,820$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.25 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked No | 8c | 2,401$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.54 | 229 | 27.1%62 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9f…3017backed No | 8c | 2,371$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 25c | 2,233$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.27 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…58a3backed No | 9c | 2,060$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6b…9390backed No | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x696f…d8b9backed No | 8c | 1,900$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.1 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…bb19backed No | 6c | 1,898$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3a…a2aabacked No | 17c | 1,629$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.36 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 2c | 1,587$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 306 | 35.9%110 W · 196 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 38c | 1,300$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…ecadbacked No | 2c | 1,200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 11c | 907.61$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 218 | 31.2%68 W · 150 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d06…397ebacked No | 59c | 883.53$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4f…ed36backed No | 6c | 848.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed No | 62c | 817.1$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…b96cbacked Yes | 41c | 814.82$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 3c | 800$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x493c…953ebacked No | 13c | 799.8$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.63 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf169…fb91backed No | 11c | 785.44$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dba…2ac5backed No | 35c | 784.03$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa41f…b397backed No | 67c | 774.07$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…b665backed Yes | 59c | 699.55$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x769d…05bfbacked No | 33c | 696.16$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.12 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Yes | 46c | 647.03$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 58c | 645.37$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.68 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…df66backed No | 63c | 634.69$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 38c | 600$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.17 | 341 | 43.4%148 W · 193 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 8c | 599.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…6964backed No | 6c | 532.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee98…113dbacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked Yes | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc320…7637backed No | 6c | 477.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe886…e553backed No | 12c | 462.13$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 11c | 460.43$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | +12.1wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…ba4fbacked No | 7c | 432.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9dd…8027backed Yes | 60c | 418.57$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7877…3cccbacked No | 57c | 411.99$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9595…1b16backed Yes | 78c | 400.27$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 64c | 387.06$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.03 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -23.0wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa81e…03dcbacked No | 3c | 375$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 59c | 370.54$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.45 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…dd60backed No | 14c | 352.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…6771backed No | 14c | 349.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Yes | 34c | 345.01$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 65c | 340.08$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.36 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes | 38c | 336.24$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked No | 10c | 333$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 442 | 24.4%108 W · 334 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 47c | 329.86$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.31 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 55c | 329$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.95 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c30…985ebacked No | 7c | 327.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 4cpaid | +902.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63af…3438backed No | 13c | 311$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 48c | 300.43$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ff…6632backed No | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked No | 45c | 291.34$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…4ce1backed Yes | 59c | 289.66$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.66 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 46c | 270.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.65 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa7…bb0fbacked Yes | 44c | 260.39$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed No | 5c | 253.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 39c | 252.72$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 360 | 35.3%127 W · 233 L | -30.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e58…ea52backed No | 54c | 251.07$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd933…6964backed Yes | 43c | 208.44$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +1,146.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3240…5d25backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed No | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…61febacked No | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 45c | 199.98$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.32 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94ee…9e92backed Yes | 52c | 192.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +246.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe495…2efabacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f2…e334backed No | 49c | 181.25$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…782fbacked Yes | 37c | 179.62$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +7.6wins | +0.28per pick | 35cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 33c | 176.6$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.32 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…6689backed Yes | 43c | 174.98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7748…58d7backed No | 45c | 168.52$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.46 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ac…2c71backed No | 61c | 164.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…97cebacked Yes | 42c | 163.94$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.09 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +59%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 61c | 156.55$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 342 | 34.8%119 W · 223 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Yes | 61c | 154.91$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.54 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 27c | 153.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 317 | 28.7%91 W · 226 L | -35.7wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xed73…4465backed No | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9992…fecbbacked No | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed No | 59c | 139.98$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.19 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9b…e6efbacked No | 9c | 138.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Yes | 46c | 131.04$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.79 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1d…4fe9backed Yes | 42c | 120.48$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 26cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b1…e043backed No | 18c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1d…faffbacked Yes | 38c | 120$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 39c | 120$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…525cbacked Yes | 55c | 119.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0234…ab99backed No | 18c | 119$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed No | 66c | 110.81$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6020…e249backed Yes | 40c | 109.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.