TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc320…7637

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
117
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Stocks, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Stocks at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT4837.5%18 W · 30 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.24
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.53
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$45.89
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+344.4%+$309.97
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.26
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+187.7%+$298.79
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 29?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+150%+$144
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+300%+$450
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$567Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$567.04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$828
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.93
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.14
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 12 and 15 on April 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+900%+$90
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.92
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.07
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-43.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.99
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.6
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$72.5
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44.8%+$91.48
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$112.99
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$185.64
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$374.59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$437Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+50.2%+$219.21
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$206.5
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$128.6
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.45
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+96.4%+$50.45
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.68
Russia announces air truce by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$727Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+42.5%+$308.46
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$434.7
Will Trump and Putin meet next in US?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,611Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+35.9%+$577.73
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+47.3%+$193.89
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+78.5%+$300.49
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$106.66
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.01
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,358Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,357.94
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,616Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+105.2%+$3,805.07
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+27.6%+$130.3
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.57
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$128.61
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,234Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+27.3%+$337.12
Will Lisa Cook vote at the next FOMC meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+25%+$42
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$128
Will Trump announce a national housing emergency in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$177.5
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+95.6%+$307.18
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$754Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+45.9%+$346.2
Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.77
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.22
Will courts block Trump's 100k H1b by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$34.5
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+175.2%+$95.5
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$245.05
Will Donald Trump disparage Volodymyr Zelenskyy on Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$154.72
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+155.9%+$278.69
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-57.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$121.66
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$96.63
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$51.11
S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.64
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$57.97
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$190.36
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$95.55
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Israel x Syria security agreement by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.18
Israel strikes Syria by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.12
All 10 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+406.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$221.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Aug 12, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.