Us Politics · resolved market
Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bad2fb7d35c6f721d4e4eec348e7f6be0f1fd08c60f39569ccc9bac062d533c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $285,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $281,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c17…83c8backed Yes | 31c | 30,394$9,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,270.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…688fbacked No | 67c | 26,489$17,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,695.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Yes | 22c | 19,656$4,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,313.8 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 28c | 17,357$4,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,853.92 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 25c | 12,626$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120.18 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf39…3101backed No | 60c | 9,077$5,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,656.41 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 29c | 9,034$2,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,642.39 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 77c | 6,801$5,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.01 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 18c | 6,329$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.49 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x018d…7f0abacked Yes | 24c | 5,308$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.69 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Yes | 10c | 4,100$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed No | 58c | 3,600$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed No | 60c | 3,526$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.89 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…3e08backed No | 61c | 3,448$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.72 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed No | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 18c | 2,899$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.7 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 76c | 2,482$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.19 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…9817backed No | 79c | 2,418$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed Yes | 42c | 2,395$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 41c | 2,334$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.86 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 63c | 2,191$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.35 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…c44bbacked No | 56c | 2,158$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.74 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.18per pick | 34cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29a8…3193backed Yes | 39c | 2,051$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed No | 63c | 2,048$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.03 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 6c | 2,047$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.72 | 132 | 16.7%22 W · 110 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45e…605fbacked No | 57c | 1,916$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 17c | 1,768$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.08 | 137 | 14.6%20 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…3655backed No | 71c | 1,564$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1c…6e03backed No | 73c | 1,516$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked Yes | 45c | 1,499$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.55 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2296…f651backed Yes | 41c | 1,400$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…5f13backed No | 78c | 1,343$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…eeb2backed No | 79c | 1,268$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2065…2be5backed No | 78c | 1,266$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…9656backed No | 63c | 1,200$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…4bd3backed No | 63c | 999.99$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.2 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 31c | 902$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.31 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…0b82backed No | 62c | 868.8$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -60%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…eec4backed No | 55c | 867.5$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9b…b444backed No | 61c | 810$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.9 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 21c | 800$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 33c | 799.99$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 152 | 27.6%42 W · 110 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 39c | 744.01$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.52 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…5c91backed Yes | 42c | 683.1$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…5df1backed No | 56c | 667.86$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 647.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…9c11backed No | 54c | 640.86$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked No | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x592b…c038backed Yes | 26c | 591.29$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed No | 66c | 577.79$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 24c | 536.41$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.61 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 14c | 532.16$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.66 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…6387backed No | 54c | 513.49$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Yes | 44c | 509$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.7 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc561…fa80backed No | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec01…6592backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +9.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +346.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.99 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 73c | 498.56$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.77 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6634…a779backed No | 64c | 492.63$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.87 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc00d…b3a0backed Yes | 42c | 484.29$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 24c | 483.32$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.26 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…509ebacked Yes | 21c | 480.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…a9c5backed No | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 29c | 468.23$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -7.7wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 65c | 450$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.5 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9e…5f7fbacked No | 79c | 418.89$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3e…e98fbacked Yes | 30c | 414.03$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.21 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 68c | 410$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.97 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76bd…f258backed No | 71c | 399.99$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked No | 60c | 364.19$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.32 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38e…397bbacked No | 55c | 363.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed No | 68c | 359.49$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.04 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd86…1f67backed No | 62c | 351.72$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed No | 54c | 350.74$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.34 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4967…0b12backed No | 60c | 330.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ad…f4e9backed No | 78c | 324.75$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.71 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…04e4backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…511bbacked Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 39c | 297.98$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.64 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Yes | 41c | 270$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…1870backed Yes | 35c | 265.15$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.18 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92e…7dd3backed Yes | 39c | 256.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x837b…e8bebacked Yes | 44c | 227.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Yes | 40c | 222$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed No | 59c | 221.88$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.01 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…498abacked Yes | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecf6…8145backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…4d73backed Yes | 31c | 214.16$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 65c | 210.11$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.05 | 318 | 40.3%128 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed No | 57c | 206.38$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab8c…256ebacked No | 60c | 205$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed Yes | 12c | 202.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7b…cd67backed Yes | 39c | 201$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.