TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7a0d…ff14

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
267
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 60 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT13950.4%70 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 139 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,399Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$415.02
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.54
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$597.89
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,696Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$1,230.85
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,450Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$1,751.23
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.07
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+134.7%+$717.5
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$756Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$755.76
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$875Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$875.43
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,043Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$725.34
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.45
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$184.36
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$128.91
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$330
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.85
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,833Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+32%+$1,546.88
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,023Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,943.32
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.51
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$865Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$865.39
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,076Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$682.77
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$7,665Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$3,362.68
US strikes Iraq by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,308Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,308.05
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$389.83
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$871Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$870.7
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,813Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,812.96
Showing 25 of 139 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+39.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+42%+$21.37
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+139.7%+$548.18
Will Chad win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$82.94
Will Mozambique win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$487.79
Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+69.1%+$108.25
Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+88.7%+$47
Will Montenegro win on 2025-11-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+160.9%+$555
Will Croatia win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+51.5%+$42.5
Will Germany win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+31.6%+$30
Will Madagascar win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+42.9%+$18.61
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+212.5%+$680
Will Switzerland win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+58.7%+$88.19
Will Scotland win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$15.2
Will Spain win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+25%+$27.17
Will Austria win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+31.6%+$36
Will Belgium win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$163.52
Will Kazakhstan vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+112.8%+$53
Will Bangladesh win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$42.45
Will Bangladesh vs. Afghanistan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+177.8%+$192
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$466Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$465.59
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.06
Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$61.32
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$58.17
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$192
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+189.2%+$545.63
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$134.99
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$47.64
Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$175
Chelsea vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$117.5
Chelsea vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+92.3%+$96
Will Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+66.7%+$79.99
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.28
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$129.28
Will Newcastle win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$23
Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
All 18 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$135.16
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$701Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$701.42
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,593Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$559.57
Will Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$280
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.2
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$96.4
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+66.1%+$256.44
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$82.5
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$28.6
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+26.2%+$35.52
FC Bayern München vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$25
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$43.69
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$28.7
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$49.47
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,978Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+72.3%+$2,152.38
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+138.1%+$25.86
Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$91.01
Trump approval Up or Down this week?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$92.18
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$64
US government shutdown in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.43
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$388.99
Will Trump say Hezbollah during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+50.4%+$34.92
Will Trump say Erdogan / Turkey during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.5
Will Trump say Qatar during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will Trump say Bibi during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.25
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick55cpaid+47.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$812Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+81.8%+$664.16
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$86
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$156
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$695Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+43.9%+$305
Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+48.1%+$89.73
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)backed Sevilla FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+99.7%+$125.93
Will Ourense CF vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+127.7%+$133.87
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$16.8
Real Sociedad vs. Villarreal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+75.4%+$86
Will Elche CF win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+122.2%+$55
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+47.3%+$225.14
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+138.1%+$57
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$977Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$976.96
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+69.8%+$123.3
Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,112Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+48.5%+$1,025.04
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+49.3%+$54.56
Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$64.83
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$727Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$727.3
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$112
All 8 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+89.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+62.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-65.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+113.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+144.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+240.1%+$285.8
Will Trump announce TikTok deal by Thursday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+48.2%+$186.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,642Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$1,778.47
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$51.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,363Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,363.09
Will Iran strike gulf oil facilities by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$152.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Botafogo FR win on 2025-11-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$135.99
Will Botafogo FR vs. SC Recife end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$14.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "GOAT" or "Greatest Of All Time" during Inter Miami events on Thursday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+300%+$45.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+124.2%+$646.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthersbacked Eastern Illinois Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$171.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
D4vd arrested by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+70.3%+$96.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$866Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+58.7%+$508.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+37%+$13.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase October 28-November 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+29.3%+$50.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DeFi Technologies (DEFT) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: SaD Esports vs QoR (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffsbacked SaD Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$134.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.