Premier League · resolved market
Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1948f9afce5a3b0353763590f5bf6c68a884bb9589f863aed1ff707e88245080
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 4,954$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.55 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.98 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 41c | 2,749$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.22 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 61c | 1,955$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.97 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 40c | 1,865$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.2 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 61c | 1,778$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.19 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 39c | 1,184$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.6 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…e0e1backed Yes | 59c | 979.8$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 60c | 723.33$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.33 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 60c | 693.28$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.31 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 39c | 562$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.18 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 58c | 465.19$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.7 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 39c | 443.99$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.16 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 60c | 433.33$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.33 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…adcdbacked Yes | 60c | 391.73$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 48c | 323.54$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.35 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 40c | 318.27$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.31 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dde…b8f1backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7052…74aebacked No | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed Yes | 60c | 199.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x922d…d82bbacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 41c | 135.54$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.57 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…5cf9backed Yes | 58c | 125.79$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80d…510ebacked Yes | 60c | 108.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…fd87backed No | 42c | 87.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x268c…a03abacked Yes | 55c | 86.87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 50c | 82.73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 59c | 79.35$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…8edcbacked Yes | 58c | 77.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 68.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…f8e1backed Yes | 61c | 64.02$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…253cbacked Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…5a5ebacked Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 44c | 42.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…6e09backed Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…bb79backed Yes | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 45c | 35.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cc…f9d2backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 559 | 55.1%308 W · 251 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43c…6003backed Yes | 61c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…5bfebacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 67cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…418cbacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1c…2f25backed Yes | 57c | 24.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes | 60c | 22.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x097f…df92backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United: O/U 1.5Over won
- Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United: O/U 2.5Over won
- Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Crystal Palace (-1.5)Manchester United won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.