TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6dde…b8f1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Olympics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST2213.6%3 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-39.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Walmart (WMT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$49.98
Will Charles River Laboratories International (CRL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$49.14
Will Analog Devices (ADI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$41.2
Will Palo Alto Networks (PANW) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$13.24
Will Williams-Sonoma (WSM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$27.42
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$24.25
Will Bullish (BLSH) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$21.8
Will AECOM (ACM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Applied Materials (AMAT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$26.76
Will Bitcoin Depot (BTM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$54.95
Will The Walt Disney Company (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$26.9
Will Playboy (PLBY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+179.4%+$21.16
Will Cisco Systems (CSCO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will Paramount Group (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$44.54
Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$33.29
Will Getty Images Holdings (GETY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+257.1%+$79.2
Will KKR & Co (KKR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$18.11
Will Ralph Lauren (RL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$61.87
Will ConocoPhillips (COP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Will US Foods Holding (USFD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$14.44
Will Celsius Holdings (CELH) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+598.2%+$119.93
Will Datadog (DDOG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$22.04
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+224.8%+$111.43
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)backed Uruguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$129
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.67
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.94
Spread: Canada (-1.5)backed Qatar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$126
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$130
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.5
Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$110
Spread: Austria (-1.5)backed Jordan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$266
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+400%+$144
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$161
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$84.97
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$528
Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.85
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.25
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$92
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+85.2%+$148.12
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+75.4%+$163.4
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$132
Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$92
Arsenal vs. Tottenham: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+118.9%+$296.05
Will another player be Euro 2024 top scorer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$791Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT+29.4%+$232.36
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2024, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+110.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-58.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$562Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$318.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+39%+$198.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$67.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Swell airdrop by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$267.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.