Cricket · resolved market
Will Sri Lanka win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8908ae06efc68c2dc3740cfd9e5f2c43f10bbfd8b803d82a5c7a94abbacfaa7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Yes | 3c | 5,000$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 91 | 28.6%26 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 3c | 4,838$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.93 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 4c | 3,579$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.17 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…efb9backed Yes | 5c | 3,498$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.34 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 3,344$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.37 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…040abacked Yes | 4c | 3,265$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.33 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -65%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cf…4452backed Yes | 6c | 3,000$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 2,730$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.14 | 119 | 5.9%7 W · 112 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked Yes | 2c | 2,686$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.51 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,492$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.56 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,351$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f57…503dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,089$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.18 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf548…1968backed Yes | 3c | 1,749$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.49 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec70…e529backed Yes | 2c | 1,600$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf64c…e897backed Yes | 4c | 1,581$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 3c | 1,553$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…537bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,300$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…158fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f3…1fc1backed Yes | 7c | 1,200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.23 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…8ee2backed Yes | 4c | 1,186$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 6c | 1,092$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.27 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb3…81c4backed Yes | 4c | 1,040$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8a…91f0backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc294…a660backed Yes | 3c | 999.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 3c | 959.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa7…5c06backed Yes | 3c | 894.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…e1dabacked Yes | 2c | 884.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…4822backed Yes | 6c | 800$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2e…e72ebacked Yes | 6c | 784.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -65%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 2c | 759.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…f07cbacked Yes | 3c | 744.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…e010backed Yes | 3c | 714.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…134dbacked Yes | 8c | 706.23$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3483…4637backed Yes | 3c | 680.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 85 | 27.1%23 W · 62 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 4c | 628.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cf…0d03backed Yes | 3c | 620.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…15a6backed Yes | 3c | 535.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked Yes | 3c | 500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b7…e26bbacked Yes | 3c | 477.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0005…0c2cbacked Yes | 3c | 472.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…f49abacked Yes | 7c | 459.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 160 | 43.1%69 W · 91 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e2…1d2abacked Yes | 6c | 406.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…b12dbacked Yes | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5450…768fbacked Yes | 8c | 298.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea31…f286backed Yes | 4c | 296.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 5c | 264.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 4c | 253.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dde…b8f1backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f5…2517backed Yes | 9c | 227.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…7881backed Yes | 8c | 222.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes | 6c | 210.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…1abbbacked Yes | 5c | 201.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sri Lanka win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?this page
- Will Afghanistan win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?No won
- Will Australia win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?No won
- Will Bangladesh win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?No won
- Will England win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?No won
- Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?Yes won
- Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?No won
- Will Pakistan win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?No won
- Will South Africa win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?No won
- Will West Indies win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?No won
- Will Zimbabwe win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?No won
- Will the United States win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.