TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xea31…f286

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Premier League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$365.7
Blackhawks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$352.3
Stars vs. Sharksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$360
Blues vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$342
Kings vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,326Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+117.4%+$1,556.27
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+150%+$421.2
Flyers vs. Canucksbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+113.5%+$529.35
Flyers vs. Blackhawksbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+88.7%+$188
Flames vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,218Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+72.4%+$882
Blue Jackets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+72.4%+$336
Wild vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+92.3%+$369.6
Devils vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$774Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$774
Flames vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+127.3%+$504
Oilers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$215
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-51%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$147
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,375
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Patriots vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$274.99
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+42.9%+$60
Steelers vs. Lions: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$94
Falcons vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$257
Spread: Bears (-7.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+100%+$150
Spread: Ravens (-2.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$315
Ravens vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$157
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+47.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$590.1
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$741Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+115.9%+$858.99
Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+78.6%+$396
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$457
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+196.1%+$861
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+194.1%+$528
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$523Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$522.6
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+61.3%+$76
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+53.8%+$224
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+78.6%+$220
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-59.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.07
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$200.9
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$387
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$364
Spread: Warriors (-14.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$288
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$423
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$317.48
Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+108.3%+$260
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-64.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+129.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. San Diego State Aztecs: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+132.6%+$101.46
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-5.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,108
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-6.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$423
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$237.91
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$837Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+65.8%+$550.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+53.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
California vs. Hawaiibacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+206.1%+$275.82
Miami vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$125.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$246.5
Juventus FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$168
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+100%+$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+29%+$44.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ASB Classic: Elina Svitolina vs Katie Boulterbacked Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$55.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$568.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$345
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.