TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$777,852
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$817,874

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $777,852 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 602 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes32c60,000$19,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,45031947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No57c53,290$30,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,980.6330851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x869b…c625backed No53c49,837$26,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,548.81770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+35%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Yes41c45,272$18,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,545.766445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes45c43,402$19,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,701.571,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked No51c40,000$20,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,599.85540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes47c30,699$14,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,362.211,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No56c21,775$12,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,477.76,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed No55c20,000$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,999.981520%3 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-63.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaab5…aab4backed Yes46c12,999$6,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,044.47425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-56.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes45c11,111$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0007028.6%20 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked No56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,40010148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No56c7,350$4,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,235.871,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No53c7,184$3,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,368.4656453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd05…1ce5backed No56c7,132$3,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,138.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed No56c6,000$3,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,652.1318948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Yes44c5,850$2,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,574.099636.5%35 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6394…9bb3backed No56c5,220$2,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,296.85271.2%37 W · 15 L+9.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+33.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes48c5,194$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.6858445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked No55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.993748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Yes47c4,668$2,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,190.6211346%52 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes45c4,249$1,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,917.82,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Yes42c3,837$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,611.535752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes48c3,815$1,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,825.611,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No51c3,421$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,681.3542043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed No57c3,402$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.864252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No54c3,372$1,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,551.3150644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f7…cf59backed No51c3,167$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,551.83683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+56.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb72f…1713backed Yes49c3,155$1,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.95650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fc…e5d8backed No51c2,863$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.87666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No70c2,614$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.3410768.2%73 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x648c…f456backed No56c2,548$1,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299c…45f5backed Yes49c2,542$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.58560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes45c2,500$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12553134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf27a…61d5backed Yes49c2,454$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,202.46366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0db3…0617backed No51c2,336$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.64666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No41c2,300$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,356.7128736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes45c2,292$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.488343.4%36 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5421…f713backed Yes45c2,263$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.071442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc89b…451fbacked Yes49c2,200$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes45c2,200$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99025836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x728b…e8a4backed No51c2,171$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No40c2,168$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.426240.3%25 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+88.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x143e…4159backed Yes49c2,158$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.42966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddc8…d895backed Yes49c2,135$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.15616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-78.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x45bf…a76dbacked Yes49c2,099$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.51633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaac2…263abacked No51c2,037$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0f2…236dbacked No51c2,002$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.98650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Yes45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90020054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a06…ecc5backed Yes49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+43.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac71…b290backed Yes46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9202646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No53c1,999$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.352,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0560…c2a9backed No51c1,998$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.025100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+54%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d76…5b76backed No51c1,970$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.3757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06ce…e7d1backed No51c1,935$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.15475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb8b…0b5bbacked No51c1,909$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.41560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd54c…b42dbacked No51c1,907$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.43683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+33.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x793d…9d90backed No51c1,906$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa571…2be9backed Yes49c1,895$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.55666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+31.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c5f…36e9backed No51c1,854$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.46450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No58c1,850$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.2240150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73e8…d405backed Yes49c1,806$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.94757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51dd…e029backed Yes49c1,800$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+55.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d7…56bcbacked Yes49c1,787$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab19…f7fabacked No51c1,739$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.11771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+54.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb42f…1f6fbacked Yes49c1,734$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.66633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-55.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9427…d560backed Yes49c1,726$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65c0…0db5backed No51c1,636$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.645100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+98.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes49c1,633$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8005050%25 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x197b…1353backed Yes49c1,632$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba5…0d6bbacked No51c1,613$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.375100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+102.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6e26…02f7backed No51c1,602$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.98560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa7c…ad46backed Yes49c1,600$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d62…3360backed Yes49c1,581$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.6930%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x26d3…bf07backed Yes49c1,577$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.73633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-43.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x691d…3bccbacked Yes49c1,564$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.36977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0bc…b74cbacked Yes49c1,562$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.38933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x30c1…1cefbacked No51c1,541$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.09785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+64.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2476…8b5bbacked Yes49c1,530$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7be0…b619backed No51c1,530$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+99.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No52c1,516$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.6745936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb77…b7f7backed Yes49c1,509$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.41850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Yes47c1,500$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.0139156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No56c1,500$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66730149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed No51c1,500$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7306046.7%28 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf189…4c6bbacked No51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5381…687dbacked Yes49c1,495$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.55450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x595e…4b85backed Yes49c1,476$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.24450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e80…8879backed Yes49c1,436$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dfe…e2cabacked No51c1,419$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.31683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+68.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No56c1,400$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.924,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x466d…bd6cbacked Yes49c1,363$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.87742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a09…3150backed No51c1,362$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.38540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c6b…4626backed Yes49c1,360$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes42c1,353$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.1136954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x85db…fd7dbacked Yes49c1,342$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.58633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e7c…bcbbbacked No51c1,341$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.09580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6533…1bc4backed Yes49c1,341$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.09560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38d4…e4fabacked No51c1,321$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.29683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+63.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.