TailMyPicks
Market

Premier League · resolved market

Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$264,921
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$270,182

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,921 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No74c56,320$41,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,890.286,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes27c50,000$13,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,499.984847.9%23 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes27c44,272$12,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,064.641,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked No74c14,203$10,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,724.765556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No72c11,250$8,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,148.91,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No73c10,700$7,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,88956453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes27c10,082$2,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,673.811,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Yes26c10,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.991520%3 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-63.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes27c10,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.99845.9%45 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No80c9,356$7,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,874.194,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes25c8,772$2,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,19622125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes26c7,846$2,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,035.146046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No77c6,812$5,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,598.752,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No74c5,724$4,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.631,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No74c5,482$4,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.5240150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6394…9bb3backed No74c3,836$2,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.365271.2%37 W · 15 L+9.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+33.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No72c3,506$2,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.6415344.4%68 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked Yes16c3,097$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005641.1%23 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac71…b290backed No75c3,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7502646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed No74c2,703$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.77759.7%46 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c6f…b31bbacked Yes14c2,626$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.64812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-65.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes27c2,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67520646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes22c2,098$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.5518948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No73c1,719$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.5339156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa573…f034backed Yes18c1,700$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2981338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No77c1,681$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.699843.9%43 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc47f…94b4backed Yes27c1,481$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Yes27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27016737.7%63 W · 104 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes20c966$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.367829.5%23 W · 55 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No73c952.62$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.2127454%148 W · 126 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes4c917.69$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3610253.9%55 W · 47 L+14.1wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+58.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x97b5…42f9backed Yes27c800$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21612746.5%59 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008040%32 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa33…63e6backed No74c742.75$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.11862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Yes27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012441.1%51 W · 73 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85df…9124backed Yes5c736.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.08250%0 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe8e…27ffbacked Yes18c665.5$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.964637%17 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes9c630$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6428736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c9…4b20backed Yes27c592.59$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1605446.3%25 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes18c589.69$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10627024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed No77c577.54$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.095754.4%31 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f39…4c71backed No74c540.54$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.54580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0c5…8c8abacked Yes4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012935.7%46 W · 83 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No76c480.16$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.441,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed No80c435.21$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.721463.1%135 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x87bb…01b9backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010736.4%39 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes24c430.15$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.241,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes25c426.46$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5126229.8%78 W · 184 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes25c423.8$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.954658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7054…af6ebacked Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87d5…9790backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010345.6%47 W · 56 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1649…7d8abacked Yes24c415.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005042%21 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd371…4478backed Yes5c413.18$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.662425%6 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe238…ec63backed Yes29c409.66$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46fe…a43dbacked No76c394.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.745162.7%32 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007241.7%30 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked No74c374.24$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.38243.9%36 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2422…28febacked Yes23c291.3$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No76c287.01$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4618551.9%96 W · 89 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6891…949fbacked No74c279.49$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.672080%16 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+27.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff63…5aa1backed No77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.742850%14 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f16…2d56backed No78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.414264.3%27 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No73c250$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.572249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No76c249.99$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6017955.3%99 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34b7…36e8backed Yes17c240.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405525.5%14 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Yes26c237$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.652653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef13…53d2backed Yes27c222.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-48.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Yes24c211.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503122.6%7 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30aa…25f4backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd42b…dac8backed Yes27c203.7$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554250%21 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a9c…5480backed No76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.54560%27 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93a7…8db6backed Yes6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12320%0 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8870…5259backed Yes25c200$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2076…bf0dbacked Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x114d…661fbacked No75c199.99$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+23.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd87…decabacked No77c199.98$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bb…39f3backed Yes26c199.95$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.994434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes9c199.14$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4843241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2f…34b0backed Yes23c199$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes26c198.29$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528925.8%23 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd502…4d4cbacked No75c190.13$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.538670.9%61 W · 25 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No75c189.67$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4229458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011443.9%50 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014544.1%64 W · 81 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes27c185$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9511923.5%28 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes24c183.96$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.413045.4%59 W · 71 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed Yes27c178.96$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.329828.6%28 W · 70 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+31.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No78c164.04$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5430739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50ca…bfddbacked Yes25c154.7$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.025034%17 W · 33 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bc…1882backed Yes20c144.01$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.51020%2 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-41.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes13c143.22$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1251542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes11c140.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164535.6%16 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe659…57bbbacked Yes24c138.67$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.281315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb102…c73dbacked No76c135.26$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.76650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed No75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3316160.9%98 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d29…5111backed No75c130$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.56355.6%35 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fe8…2026backed Yes27c129.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352825%7 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-37.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No74c123.08$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3225551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc587…1630backed No77c122.71$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.224955.1%27 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.