TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6891…949f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST2347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+25%+$25
Red Sox vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$56.29
White Sox vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$84
Dodgers vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$718Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$226.87
Angels vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$30.43
Cardinals vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+46.1%+$193.81
Dodgers vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.18
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
White Sox vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
White Sox vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$91
Twins vs. Marlinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
White Sox vs. Dodgersbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.05
Giants vs. Diamondbacksbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$20
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.7
White Sox vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$18.75
Giants vs. Diamondbacksbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.95
Astros vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Angels vs. Bravesbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$29.5
Athletics vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.2
Orioles vs. Rangersbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+34.3%+$13.73
Giants vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
Athletics vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.6
All 23 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2080%16 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+27.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$795Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$312.85
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+44.9%+$89.86
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+56.3%+$56.25
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$122.29
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+156.4%+$156.41
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+38.9%+$56.12
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+35.1%+$72.67
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+75.8%+$173.39
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+33.3%+$123.57
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+63.9%+$63.93
Burnley FC vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+28.2%+$66.05
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+102.5%+$204.97
Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+26.8%+$55.62
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+63.9%+$79.92
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$104
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$237.16
Will Aston Villa vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$73.91
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$144.3
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+132.6%+$132.56
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+50.8%+$50.79
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+33.3%+$103.86
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+59.4%+$117.34
Kings vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+37%+$36.99
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+117.4%+$234.78
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$298.22
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+49.3%+$39.32
Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Will Malta vs. Poland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Croatia win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+184.7%+$184.71
Will Portugal win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$58.24
Will Italy win on 2025-09-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$39
Will Kosovo win on 2025-09-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+41.6%+$29.38
Will Germany vs. Northern Ireland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will United States win on 2025-09-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$115
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$191.15
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.27
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.73
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+28%+$56.07
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$87.64
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+56.3%+$56.25
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+117.4%+$202.22
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$304.66
Will Osasuna win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+85.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+99.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fever vs. Dreambacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Valkyries vs. Lynxbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.12
Mercury vs. Sunbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+446.7%+$169.75
Wings vs. Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+150%+$150
All 4 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+78.6%+$149.51
Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$88.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+56.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$37.6
Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+25%+$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lee Jae-myung arrested in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Yoon arrested by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+31.7%+$23.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSV vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$412.18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.