Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafcf4723bf751a3d05519985a5e495dd6b19d2275ef12323b33ab4c4fd438406

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 30, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,109,663
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,101,486

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,109,663 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 915 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes	43c	226,293$97,386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97,385.71	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	60c	127,566$76,512 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51,053.75	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x869b…c625backed No	61c	100,000$61,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38,999.89	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+3.3wins	+0.20per pick	51cpaid	+35%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No	53c	83,455$44,074 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39,380.41	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No	60c	78,335$47,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,334.08	248	46.8%116 W · 132 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No	59c	53,488$31,689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,798.93	211	54.5%115 W · 96 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No	54c	52,740$28,586 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,153.65	292	53.4%156 W · 136 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+30%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes	29c	50,000$14,625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,625	319	47.6%152 W · 167 L	+10.6wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Yes	41c	28,407$11,647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,646.97	89	40.4%36 W · 53 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	43c	21,372$9,174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,173.6	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No	59c	20,162$11,894 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,268.65	144	50.7%73 W · 71 L	+9.3wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf55…a7e0backed Yes	25c	20,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No	58c	18,363$10,632 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,730.63	1,004	46.3%465 W · 539 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No	53c	17,678$9,446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,231.99	796	39.6%315 W · 481 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No	58c	15,603$9,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,553.28	308	51.3%158 W · 150 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5fa…5b59backed Yes	43c	15,000$6,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,449.93	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes	46c	14,616$6,744 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,744.38	233	50.2%117 W · 116 L	-14.9wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No	56c	13,664$7,697 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,967.21	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes	39c	12,409$4,839 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,839.47	126	42.9%54 W · 72 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Yes	43c	11,595$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	40	50%20 W · 20 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfae3…f1c9backed Yes	42c	10,405$4,378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,378.34	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked No	62c	10,200$6,324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,876	109	62.4%68 W · 41 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked Yes	40c	10,083$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	56	41.1%23 W · 33 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No	59c	10,010$5,883 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,126.87	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc16b…8404backed No	58c	10,000$5,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,200	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+4.0wins	+0.15per pick	46cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Yes	39c	10,000$3,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,899.98	71	47.9%34 W · 37 L	-5.4wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9f1…5840backed Yes	59c	10,000$5,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,899.88	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No	61c	9,702$5,918 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,783.77	50	54%27 W · 23 L	+4.1wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes	39c	8,547$3,333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,333.33	138	34.1%47 W · 91 L	-11.9wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	27c	8,472$2,317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,316.64	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Yes	41c	8,200$3,402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,402	57	52.6%30 W · 27 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x072c…f037backed Yes	62c	8,063$4,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,999	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed Yes	34c	7,068$2,438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,438	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92b1…6695backed Yes	39c	7,020$2,738 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,737.83	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked No	61c	6,666$4,066 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,599.72	113	49.6%56 W · 57 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes	26c	6,496$1,710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,710.09	287	36.2%104 W · 183 L	-6.2wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-30%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed Yes	40c	6,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No	61c	6,000$3,660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,339.97	227	44.5%101 W · 126 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No	57c	5,987$3,436 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,550.52	1,006	46.6%469 W · 537 L	-20.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e9…0c07backed No	57c	5,848$3,333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,514.56	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+75.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17b7…cb60backed Yes	43c	5,840$2,511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,511	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb17d…d067backed Yes	43c	5,600$2,408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,408	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+19%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf9…e26bbacked No	57c	5,600$3,192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,407.99	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+75.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	43c	5,314$2,286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,285.64	1,146	42.8%490 W · 656 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79f0…964ebacked Yes	27c	5,000$1,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,350	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.23per pick	43cpaid	-70.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf975…4354backed Yes	59c	5,000$2,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,950	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked No	58c	4,955$2,874 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,080.95	56	51.8%29 W · 27 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa7…52b4backed Yes	39c	4,902$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,900	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd070…a978backed Yes	40c	4,844$1,938 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,937.62	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No	56c	4,571$2,570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,001.36	466	51.9%242 W · 224 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes	44c	4,545$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,999.8	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes	37c	4,500$1,675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,674.95	106	36.8%39 W · 67 L	-7.7wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes	45c	4,445$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes	59c	4,321$2,530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,529.7	98	43.9%43 W · 55 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eea…929abacked Yes	52c	4,304$2,238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,238.14	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes	34c	4,197$1,431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,431.42	100	42%42 W · 58 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4735…ed50backed Yes	35c	3,986$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes	36c	3,861$1,404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,404.2	290	44.8%130 W · 160 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7990…c870backed No	54c	3,705$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,705.16	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes	45c	3,499$1,585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,585.39	237	41.8%99 W · 138 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe137…0c01backed Yes	40c	3,398$1,359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,359	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No	52c	3,339$1,732 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,607.71	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+27.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf87…59c5backed Yes	25c	3,151$797 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$797	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No	58c	3,126$1,803 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,323.54	257	52.1%134 W · 123 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02c1…2e70backed Yes	40c	3,102$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250.35	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e4…f7febacked Yes	35c	3,071$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes	43c	3,000$1,290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,290	197	29.4%58 W · 139 L	-9.6wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-23%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0a…09a6backed Yes	39c	2,876$1,122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,121.65	51	51%26 W · 25 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes	30c	2,805$830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$829.94	413	44.8%185 W · 228 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No	53c	2,782$1,471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,310.3	531	34.5%183 W · 348 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed Yes	43c	2,635$1,133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,133.05	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-5.5wins	-0.19per pick	47cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x214d…cd09backed Yes	40c	2,600$1,028 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,027.98	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8944…41d5backed Yes	35c	2,600$919 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$918.88	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	-4.4wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x137b…aa61backed Yes	39c	2,564$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28f9…3970backed Yes	39c	2,564$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes	39c	2,510$979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$978.76	145	44.8%65 W · 80 L	-11.4wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed Yes	40c	2,500$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Yes	38c	2,500$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$949.99	159	52.2%83 W · 76 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Yes	36c	2,364$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$850	77	55.8%43 W · 34 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d3…c5afbacked Yes	45c	2,245$1,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,010	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-8.3wins	-0.20per pick	55cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x0425…9b90backed Yes	46c	2,190$1,005 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,005	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-3.4wins	-0.18per pick	49cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4acb…87babacked No	57c	2,094$1,194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$900.77	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c92…b9c9backed No	58c	2,075$1,193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$881.4	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes	59c	2,034$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	123	45.5%56 W · 67 L	-10.3wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes	34c	2,031$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700.3	72	30.6%22 W · 50 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes	43c	2,019$863 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$863.21	449	39.6%178 W · 271 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba0a…5da1backed Yes	43c	2,009$864 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$864.03	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Yes	35c	2,006$710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$710	71	45.1%32 W · 39 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed No	62c	2,000$1,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$760	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes	59c	2,000$1,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,180	107	51.4%55 W · 52 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ca…7229backed Yes	44c	2,000$870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$870	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed No	55c	2,000$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$899.98	71	49.3%35 W · 36 L	+5.3wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b6c…f6aabacked Yes	42c	1,998$839 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$839.14	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No	61c	1,973$1,198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$775.54	1,163	57.4%667 W · 496 L	+40.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No	62c	1,832$1,136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$696.16	111	62.2%69 W · 42 L	+10.1wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8075…52eebacked Yes	39c	1,795$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47e6…fd61backed No	57c	1,754$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$754.39	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked No	57c	1,750$998 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$752.5	170	42.9%73 W · 97 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Yes	59c	1,736$1,024 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,024.22	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes	43c	1,730$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	181	23.2%42 W · 139 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?this page
Will Chelsea vs. Arsenal end in a draw?Yes won
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event